看板 Baseball
作者 polanco (polanco)
標題 [分享] FOX 大聯盟2025年度獎項預測
時間 Fri Sep 12 10:48:06 2025


Who is in the mix for MLB's top three individual awards — MVP, Cy Young, and Ro
okie of the Year?

FOX Sports' @DeeshaThosar and @RowanKavner gave their picks
foxsports.com/stories/mlb/20…

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G0lf29caMAIahZn.jpg
[圖]

https://x.com/MLBONFOX/status/1966208200350511485

FOX兩位專家的預測

只有國聯的新人王有分歧



關於美聯MVP,這兩人的理由

It seems like all we’ve heard around baseball since the second half of the seas
on is the AL MVP debate. Let’s not make this complicated. It comes down to the
numbers. Judge has a 192 wRC+ and 7.9 fWAR; Raleigh has about a 158 wRC+ and 7.3
 fWAR. Judge is slashing .321/.442/.660 with 44 homers; Raleigh is at roughly .2
40/.349/.574 with 53 homers. I’m not convinced that everything Raleigh does as
a switch-hitting catcher is enough to bridge the gap in Judge’s rate stats and
on-base/slugging advantage — roughly an 86-point difference in slugging — so t
his one still belongs to Judge. – Deesha Thosar


My heart says Cal Raleigh, but my head says Judge, who holds the advantage over
not only Raleigh but every qualified MLB hitter in every slash line category. Ju
dge shouldn’t be penalized just because this season isn’t quite as ridiculous
as last year, which was one of the greatest seasons from a right-handed hitter e
ver. His OPS is more than 150 points better than the next closest AL competitor,
 he has reached base safely in 118 of his 133 games, and he had a terrific defen
sive season before the elbow injury. We shouldn’t lose sight of how ridiculous
he has been. – Rowan Kavner


大意就是覺得法官除了全壘打以外的打擊數據贏Raleigh太多了

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※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 223.139.21.7 (臺灣)
※ 作者: polanco 2025-09-12 10:48:06
※ 文章代碼(AID): #1emudf02 (Baseball)
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Baseball/M.1757645289.A.002.html
※ 編輯: polanco (223.139.21.7 臺灣), 09/12/2025 10:49:19
jack8587: Maga之力今天又2轟,羅里要贏大概得拼60轟1F 09/12 10:49
lmf770410: 還是法官2F 09/12 10:50
same60710: 主要就是很多人只會看到看到Raleigh刷HR 沒注意其實他3F 09/12 10:50
stardream226: MVP大概五年內都是這兩位4F 09/12 10:50
same60710: 後半賽季根本打的超爛...5F 09/12 10:50
RodrigueZ810: 今天後fwar應該會拉開到0.5以上6F 09/12 10:51
huangjyuan: 法官今天衝一波7F 09/12 10:52
edhuang: Horton跟鬼一樣8F 09/12 10:52
qscxz: 五年不好說 但明年幾乎也是這兩位9F 09/12 10:53
dd1115dd1115: Cal Raleigh其他數據真的輸太多了10F 09/12 10:54
yankees733: 美聯MVP還很難說啦 看誰最後鳥掉誰就輸了11F 09/12 10:55
hy654: 投票的不會只看數據就投票 破捕手全壘打紀錄跟守位是捕手一定多少有加成
我是覺得 還很難講12F 09/12 10:57
jack8587: 國聯真的沒對手,大谷未來有機會打破bb爺7mvp的紀錄15F 09/12 10:57
zego41: 雷利之前看起來很穩,如果打擊率再跌下去.23 就涼了16F 09/12 10:58
howard1997: 雷利除了全壘打之外真的差太多 難吧17F 09/12 11:00
ohmyya: 拉利第二名票應該很多18F 09/12 11:00
MoWilliams: 雷利也撞牆撞的很嚴重19F 09/12 11:01
sunwit: 今天之前法官WAR也才領先0.420F 09/12 11:06
RodrigueZ810: 可能就像一個多月前PCA的war領先但大家還是認為大谷的原因吧21F 09/12 11:08
kayuzzo15135: 沒有五年吧 法官都33了五年不就到3723F 09/12 11:09
Yjizz: 蘿莉最近稍涼或是被IBB, Last7三圍 .200.375.44024F 09/12 11:09
RodrigueZ810: cal很多是守備位撐高的war所以票選比較不吃香,可能跟紀錄加成抵消了25F 09/12 11:09
Diaw0803: 法官OPS贏那麼多 全聯盟也只有大谷能看到車尾燈27F 09/12 11:12
kayuzzo15135: 哪有只有全壘打 打點也贏法官阿28F 09/12 11:12
huangjyuan: 蘿莉參加全壘打大賽應該也是有關係29F 09/12 11:14
phf5566: 沒有什麼往後5年都是這兩人 法官已經33了 之後狀態往下掉都是正常的 大谷也已經30了 再加上雙刀對身體的負擔 期待兩個人未來再巔峰個5年不切實際30F 09/12 11:18
saidon: 五年內沒對手可能性不大拉 尤其法官33了不太可能未來五年還能維持這種狀態33F 09/12 11:21
atmmaxing: 雷利什麼時候看起來很穩了XD35F 09/12 11:27
andy0305: 水手拚個美西龍頭可能還有機會吧36F 09/12 11:34
kayuzzo15135: 雷利要55以上才有一拼的機會吧
樓上mvp戰績又不是很重要 不然大谷在天使哪能拿
更何況洋基戰績也不爛37F 09/12 11:34
kirimaru73: 全壘打很難說的 搞不好最後突然蹦好幾支出來
只是今天是法官先蹦了兩隻40F 09/12 11:42
kotorichan: 雷利55就有機會42F 09/12 11:44
saidon: 為何55有機會 又不是啥指標性數字43F 09/12 11:47
Jaguarsu: 左右開弓全壘打記錄是54隻44F 09/12 11:54
rayterzll: 大谷今年拿第四座就是史上第二人了,MVP天花板大概都在3座45F 09/12 11:56
cl3bp6: Raleigh上半季OPS還有1 現在剩0.92547F 09/12 12:10
kirimaru73: 破左右開弓全壘打紀錄但是OPS輸快二成 這差距有點大除非破紀錄後再追加好幾轟
法官1.1就是擺在那裡48F 09/12 12:12

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