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https://i.meee.com.tw/tIXyJ0A.png
美國智庫「國防優先基金會」(Defence Priorities Foundation)的 Daniel DePetris
投稿在全美第6大報「芝加哥論壇報」(Chicago Tribune)

標題: 台灣總統在國內跟美國那邊都不好過
Taiwan's president is not having an easy time of it at home or with the US

gpt懶人包

1. 雙重壓力：來自北京的威脅與華府的焦慮
台灣在美國擁有高度的跨黨派支持，但面對中國威脅升高、台灣內部政治混亂、
美方對台政策又反覆不定，華府開始對台北的治理能力產生疑慮。
With the exception of Israel, no foreign entity elicits as much bipartisan
support in Washington as Taiwan… Chinese President Xi Jinping is even more
intent on reunification than his predecessors, ordering the People’s
Liberation Army to have the military assets in place to invade Taiwan by 2027
… a highly polarized Taiwanese political scene, coupled with an
unpredictable Donald Trump administration, has led to the fundamental
question: Can Taiwan afford a business-as-usual mentality?

2.台灣內部自己也鬧翻天  https://i.meee.com.tw/TjwQ1XI.png
賴清德想提升國防預算，卻被立法院的在野黨擋到死，甚至還通過法案凍結數十億美元
軍費。民進黨不甘示弱發動罷免，試圖拉下國民黨立委，但全數失敗。
結果就是：政府什麼事也推不動，要嘛妥協 要嘛就只能當一個「跛腳總統」 撐完這任期
"Internally, Taiwanese politicians are at one another’s throats... The
Legislative Yuan... voted in January to freeze the defense budget by billions
of dollars... Every KMT lawmaker survived the recall effort, which means that
Lai will either be forced to work with the opposition to get anything passed
in the legislature or spend the remainder of his term as a lame-duck leader."

3. 川普課台灣關稅，還要台灣掏錢談判

"Those concessions will include throwing tens of billions, if not hundreds of
billions, of dollars into the United States… Even then, it might not mollify
Trump; whenever he talks about Taiwan, Trump never ceases to remind people
about how the island “stole” America’s chip-making business."

4. 賴清德被擋過境，北京看得笑呵呵
過境美國原本只是象徵性慣例，蔡英文以前都做過，結果川普政府擋了賴清德，
還順便取消國防部長的會談，直接送一波紅利給習近平。
“Trump administration decision to block Lai from traveling to the United
States…Such stops in the United States are quite common, with Lai’s
predecessor, Tsai Ing-wen, doing it multiple times...in addition to the
Pentagon’s cancellation of defense talks… will come as welcome signs to Xi."

5. 最後還是台灣自己要搞定自己
美國可以賣你武器、替你撐場面，但美國也沒辦法幫你過預算、讓立法院不打架。就算盟
友再強，若台灣內部持續擺爛，別人也無能為力。
"The United States may be the best foreign friend it has, but not even a
superpower can force Taiwan’s politicians to pass legislation… Otherwise,
nothing else that follows will matter."

--
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※ 作者: usnavyseal 2025-08-06 13:39:47
※ 文章代碼(AID): #1eakgcDc (Gossiping)
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Gossiping/M.1754458790.A.366.html

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