作者 TyuzuChou (潤潤潤)標題 [新聞] 馬斯克的 SpaceX 成為川普「黃金圓頂」飛時間 Fri Apr 18 08:33:49 2025
原文標題:
Musk's SpaceX is frontrunner to build Trump's Golden Dome missile shield
原文連結:
https://tinyurl.com/mt699wxn
發布時間:Thu, April 17, 2025 at 6:04 p.m. GMT+8
記者署名:By Mike Stone, Marisa Taylor
原文內容:
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -Elon Musk's SpaceX and two partners have emerged as
frontrunners to win a crucial part of President Donald Trump's "Golden Dome"
missile defense shield, six people familiar with the matter said.
Musk's rocket and satellite company is partnering with software maker Palantir
and drone builder Anduril on a bid to build key parts of Golden Dome, the
sources said, which has drawn significant interest from the technology sector'
s burgeoning base of defense startups.
In his January 27 executive order, Trump cited a missile attack as "the most
catastrophic threat facing the United States."
All three companies were founded by entrepreneurs who have been major
political supporters of Trump. Musk has donated more than a quarter of a
billion dollars to help elect Trump, and now serves as a special adviser to
the president working to cut government spending through his Department of
Government Efficiency.
Despite the Pentagon's positive signals to the SpaceX group, some sources
stressed the decision process for Trump's Golden Dome is in its early stages.
Its ultimate structure and who is selected to work on it could change
dramatically in the coming months.
The three companies met with top officials in the Trump administration and the
Pentagon in recent weeks to pitch their plan, which would build and launch
400 to more than 1,000 satellites circling the globe to sense missiles and
track their movement, sources said.
A separate fleet of 200 attack satellites armed with missiles or lasers would
then bring enemy missiles down, three of the sources said. The SpaceX group is
not expected to be involved in the weaponization of satellites, these sources
said.
One of the sources familiar with the talks described them as "a departure from
the usual acquisition process. There's an attitude that the national security
and defense community has to be sensitive and deferential to Elon Musk
because of his role in the government."
SpaceX and Musk have declined to comment on whether Musk is involved in any of
the discussions or negotiations involving federal contracts with his
businesses.
The Pentagon did not respond to detailed questions from Reuters, only saying
it will deliver "options to the President for his decision in line with the
executive order and in alignment with White House guidance and timelines."
The White House, SpaceX, Palantir, and Anduril also did not respond to
questions. After publication, Musk replied to a post about Reuters' story on
his social network X without elaborating: "This is not true."
SUBSCRIPTION SERVICE
In an unusual twist, SpaceX has proposed setting up its role in Golden Dome as
a "subscription service" in which the government would pay for access to the
technology, rather than own the system outright.
The subscription model, which has not been previously reported, could skirt
some Pentagon procurement protocols allowing the system to be rolled out
faster, the two sources said. While the approach would not violate any rules,
the government may then be locked into a subscription and lose control over
its ongoing development and pricing, they added.
Some Pentagon officials have expressed concerns internally about relying on
the subscription-based model for any part of the Golden Dome, two sources told
Reuters. Such an arrangement would be unusual for such a large and critical
defense program.
U.S. Space Force General Michael Guetlein has been in talks on whether SpaceX
should be the owner and operator of its part of the system, the two sources
said. Other options include having the U.S. own and operate the system, or
having the U.S. own it while contractors handle operations. Guetlein did not
respond to a request for comment.
Retired Air Force General Terrence O'Shaughnessy, a top SpaceX advisor to Musk
, has been involved in the company's recent discussions with senior defense
and intelligence leaders, the two sources said. O'Shaughnessy did not respond
to requests for comment.
Should the group led by SpaceX win a Golden Dome contract, it would be the
biggest win for Silicon Valley in the lucrative defense contracting industry
and a blow to the traditional contractors.
However, those long-standing contractors, such as Northrop Grumman, Boeing and
RTX are expected to be big players in the process as well, people familiar
with the companies said. Lockheed Martin put up a webpage as a part of its
marketing efforts.
MANY BIDS
The Pentagon has received interest from more than 180 companies keen to help
develop and build the Golden Dome, according to a U.S. official, including
defense startups like Epirus, Ursa Major and Armada. Members of the White
House's National Security Council were briefed by a handful of companies about
their capabilities, four sources said.
The Pentagon's number two, former private equity investor Steve Feinberg, will
be a key decision-maker for Golden Dome, two U.S. defense officials said.
Feinberg co-founded Cerberus Capital Management which has invested in the
cutting-edge hypersonic missiles industry but not in SpaceX. Feinberg, who did
not respond to a request for comment, has said he would divest of all his
interests in Cerberus when he joined the administration.
Some experts believe the overall cost for Golden Dome could reach hundreds of
billions of dollars. The Pentagon established several timelines for
capabilities to be delivered starting with early 2026 to those delivered after
2030.
Laura Grego, research director at the nonprofit Union of Concerned Scientists,
questioned the feasibility of such a defense system given that multiple
studies have concluded it is a “bad idea, expensive and vulnerable.”
“Such a system could be overwhelmed by launching multiple weapons at the same
time, pushing the required size of the defense to very large numbers –
potentially in the tens of thousands of satellites,” Grego said.
SpaceX is pitching for the part of the Golden Dome initiative called the "
custody layer," a constellation of satellites that would detect missiles,
track their trajectory, and determine if they are heading toward the U.S.,
according to two sources familiar with SpaceX's goals.
SpaceX has estimated the preliminary engineering and design work for the
custody layer of satellites would cost between $6 billion and $10 billion, two
of the sources said. In the last five years, SpaceX has launched hundreds of
operational spy satellites and more recently several prototypes, which could
be retrofitted to be used for the project, the sources said.
Reuters reviewed an internal Pentagon memo from Defense Secretary Peter
Hegseth issued shortly before a February 28 deadline to senior Pentagon
leadership asking them for initial Golden Dome proposals and calling for the "
acceleration of the deployment" of constellations of satellites.
The time frame could give SpaceX an advantage because of its fleet of rockets,
including the Falcon 9, and existing satellites that could be repurposed for
the missile defense shield, the people familiar with the plan said.
Despite these advantages, some of those familiar with the discussions said it
was uncertain whether the SpaceX group would be able to efficiently set up a
system with new technology in a cost-effective way that can protect the United
States from attack.
"It remains to be seen whether SpaceX and these tech companies will be able to
pull any of this off," said one of the sources. "They've never had to deliver
on an entire system that the nation will need to rely on for its defense."
Separately, some Democrats in Congress expressed concern about Musk's bidding
on federal contracts while serving in the White House.
“When the richest man in the world can become a Special Government Employee
and exert influence over the flow of billions of dollars of taxpayer money in
government contracts to his companies, that’s a serious problem,” said U.S.
Senator Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH), a senior member of the Armed Services Committee
.
Shaheen has introduced new legislation that would prevent federal contracts
from being issued to companies owned by any special government employee like
Musk.
U.S. Rep. Donald Beyer, D-Va, told Reuters he was also concerned about SpaceX
’s role given Musk’s unprecedented “inside access to non-public information
and data.”
“Any contracts awarded to him, or his companies, are suspicious,” he said.
心得/評論:
馬斯克的 SpaceX 成為川普「黃金圓頂」飛彈防禦計畫的領跑者
華盛頓(路透社)——知情人士透露,伊隆· 馬斯克的太空公司 SpaceX 與兩家合作夥伴
已成為川普總統「黃金圓頂」(Golden Dome)飛彈防禦系統中關鍵部分的主要競標者。
這三家公司分別為:
SpaceX(火箭與衛星)
Palantir(軟體資料分析)
Anduril(無人機與防禦科技)
根據消息人士,這三家公司正提出計劃,負責建立並發射 400 到超過 1,000 顆衛星,用
來偵測飛彈與追蹤軌跡。此外,還計劃部署 200 顆配備導彈或雷射武器的攻擊衛星(但
SpaceX 預期不參與武器化部分)。
三家公司近期與白宮與五角大廈高層會晤,推銷其方案。雖然五角大廈對 SpaceX 團隊釋
出正面訊號,但整個「黃金圓頂」專案尚在初期階段,未來架構與最終承包商仍有變數。
SpaceX 提出一項新穎的「訂閱制」商業模式:美國政府將支付訂閱費用以存取技術,而
非直接擁有整套系統。這可能能繞過傳統採購程序、加快部署,但也引發美方對價格與控
制權的擔憂。
據了解,SpaceX 正爭取負責「custody layer」(監控層),即用來偵測飛彈、追蹤與判
斷是否朝向美國的衛星系統。此部分初期設計與工程預估花費為 60 億至 100 億美元。
五角大廈收到超過 180 家企業的提案,其中包括傳統國防承包商(如洛克希德馬丁、波
音、諾斯洛普與 RTX),也包括新創(如 Epirus、Ursa Major、Armada)。該專案最早
將於 2026 年推出初步能力,2030 年後全面完成。
儘管 SpaceX 擁有火箭與現成衛星的優勢,許多專家仍對其是否能以具成本效益的方式打
造可靠防禦系統感到懷疑。此外,馬斯克作為政府特別顧問,又同時讓其公司競標聯邦合
約,引發民主黨人關注其利益衝突與資訊不對等。
==
計畫名稱:「黃金圓頂」(Golden Dome)
由川普政府主導的全球飛彈防禦網計畫。
目標:偵測、追蹤與擊落來襲飛彈,應對「對美國最具災難性威脅」。
SpaceX 聯盟提案內容:
建構 400–1,000 顆偵測與追蹤飛彈的衛星(custody layer)。
配合 200 顆武裝攻擊衛星(但非由 SpaceX 操作)。
採用訂閱制提供服務,而非政府擁有系統。
面向 優點 風險
速度 快速部署、不需經歷冗長採購流程 跳過監察、難以問責
成本 初期開支較少 長期支出不透明,成本恐飆升
控制 靈活技術接入 主權弱化、缺乏主控權
技術 可用最先進商業解法 依賴供應商、系統黑箱化
國防原則 引入創新與競爭 違背軍方穩定性與保密性原則
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※ 作者: TyuzuChou 2025-04-18 08:33:49
※ 文章代碼(AID): #1e0Ptm3i (Stock)
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Stock/M.1744936432.A.0EC.html
推 semind: 姓X的就是親兒子,老爸賣命當然為了親兒子1F 04/18 08:40
推 xeins: 黃金時代2F 04/18 08:42
→ AGODC: 史塔克企業要成型了?4F 04/18 08:53
推 iidkasr: 敢挖猶太人的金庫你就等著被抄家到屁都不剩6F 04/18 09:00
→ pov: 上帝之杖8F 04/18 09:16
推 cocomashow: 這好像在那部電影看過 最後會合體成天網衛星炮 對吧10F 04/18 09:19
→ yunf: 沒用不用看了 百密一疏
除了和平其他都是異想天開11F 04/18 09:26
推 ferrisw: 笑死,國防訂閱制,開打先漲價,不然打到一半斷網,美軍如果採用大概腦袋裝屎14F 04/18 10:04
推 fajita: 再搞點AGI與無人機就變天網了,愛殺誰就殺誰
對了,忘了說管家機器人變成殺人機器人16F 04/18 10:08
推 sonyvaio: Golden Dome 聽起來就很屌18F 04/18 10:25
推 QQ5566: 我記得華納威秀有個廳類似這名字19F 04/18 10:36
→ raku: 國防的東西跟特定廠商用訂閱制 腦洞
美軍會想體驗類似烏克蘭F16電戰系統被遠端關閉的尊爵體驗嗎?20F 04/18 11:19
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