看板 Stock
作者 andycat5566 (帥到分手ovak Djokovic s)
標題 [心得] 來估看看2020台股最低點
時間 Tue Mar 17 18:04:52 2020


1、景氣不好,工具機製造業倒了一堆

2、無薪假暴增的跡象

3、政府振興內需的輔導。

4、武漢疫情擴散

5、油價暴跌

6、中美貿易戰

以上有這麼多種種不安跡象。

應該大部分人都看壞,好奇2020台股最低點會落在哪。

小弟估2020台股最差在5000點不知道會不會估太壞。

請大家也來猜猜看,謝謝    。


小弟大約統計
猜6000約30%
猜7000約20%
猜8000約20%
猜5000約15%
猜其他約15%
希望這數據對大家有參考價值

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※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 180.204.140.145 (臺灣)
※ 文章代碼(AID): #1USA36gS (Stock)
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Stock/M.1584439494.A.A9C.html
braja5566: 7500~80001F 03/17 18:05
season2011: 40002F 03/17 18:05
formec: 我猜對 折6000點3F 03/17 18:05
BoyRock: 60004F 03/17 18:06
nakinight: 9000底吧 台股這麼硬5F 03/17 18:06
BlueOctober: 定期定額 當退休金買6F 03/17 18:06
boy1031: 7300左右 散戶太有錢了7F 03/17 18:06
currant: 88888F 03/17 18:06
UCCUplz: 亂喊60009F 03/17 18:07
qllow: 8500~900010F 03/17 18:07
c98765432c: 550011F 03/17 18:07
BURNFISH: 猜對折12F 03/17 18:07
Yunk: 556613F 03/17 18:07
protoss666: 633914F 03/17 18:07
nrefder: 跌破5000我吃......素一個月15F 03/17 18:07
skyexers: 9000吧  很快就會上20000了  趕快歐印16F 03/17 18:07
rongjun: 816817F 03/17 18:08
aixiiae2005: 774918F 03/17 18:08
apolloapollo: 395619F 03/17 18:08
Doub1eK: 我猜700020F 03/17 18:08
she123667: 600021F 03/17 18:08
evolution999: 528722F 03/17 18:08
frankie30432: 7XXX 但越來越悲觀囉23F 03/17 18:08
wastetheone: 024F 03/17 18:08
a5413eric: 548725F 03/17 18:08
danny2451: 750026F 03/17 18:08
fragile8G: 820027F 03/17 18:08
abyssa1: 817028F 03/17 18:09
HanaIro: 395529F 03/17 18:09
sunmao: 7XXX30F 03/17 18:09
Asahina: 527831F 03/17 18:09
Yunk: 只要3個月內單日最低有觸到5566 請以下10樓吃雞排32F 03/17 18:09
gazelle74: 第一關9527已經如預期先跌破了,下一關必破關卡是878733F 03/17 18:09
jerry5020: 615235F 03/17 18:09
CSLsong: 卡36F 03/17 18:09
lee1023: 895737F 03/17 18:09
aromaplant: 6500-7000吧..38F 03/17 18:09
firelin: 666639F 03/17 18:09
cosmite: 蓋雞排40F 03/17 18:09
owsy: 670041F 03/17 18:10
xuane: 8700點最低42F 03/17 18:10
jay780305: 888843F 03/17 18:10
deangogi: 226644F 03/17 18:10
ddchris: 556645F 03/17 18:10
asf15956: 卡46F 03/17 18:10
wujason: 700047F 03/17 18:10
hanslins: 600048F 03/17 18:10
winston06: 3點1449F 03/17 18:11
Yidra: 450050F 03/17 18:11
saihao: 8751F 03/17 18:11
avigale: 548752F 03/17 18:11
tsitned: 300053F 03/17 18:11
angry5566: 散戶直接尬到萬三54F 03/17 18:12
sam90205: 678555F 03/17 18:12
kokilly: 6495.83 淨值1倍56F 03/17 18:12
envy116: 目前估860057F 03/17 18:12
fancyrex: 395558F 03/17 18:12
gidapops: 5000學我的 請猜499959F 03/17 18:12
f770622: 884860F 03/17 18:12
lk2986706we: 最高點2000061F 03/17 18:12
DustToDust: 850062F 03/17 18:12
handsomegg39: 678963F 03/17 18:12
cloud0829: 8000-850064F 03/17 18:12
poisonB: 9000會掙扎一下 今年低點頂多800065F 03/17 18:12
new1974: 299766F 03/17 18:12
lasd: 830067F 03/17 18:12
wizp: 659968F 03/17 18:13
qazse000: 777769F 03/17 18:13
allen0080: 600070F 03/17 18:13
panmomo: 505071F 03/17 18:13
mepass: 搞不好宣布鎖國指數就上來了 也不用救72F 03/17 18:13
nottell: 650073F 03/17 18:13
joygo: 大概要融資斷頭吧,猜一半626474F 03/17 18:13
golover: 395575F 03/17 18:14
Giantpanda: 600076F 03/17 18:14
etop: 233077F 03/17 18:14
peach812: 484878F 03/17 18:15
usan: 5487,選我正解79F 03/17 18:15
vul3ai: 642380F 03/17 18:15
sumerrain: 789081F 03/17 18:15
flipflap: 600082F 03/17 18:15
capirex: 675083F 03/17 18:15
s8911124: 900084F 03/17 18:15
jagger: 900085F 03/17 18:16
alau: 878786F 03/17 18:16
KuraHoshi: 6987 不能再高87F 03/17 18:16
m2938: 8740 選我正解88F 03/17 18:16
Kayusumi: 836289F 03/17 18:17
ydna666666: 不會跌破7000的90F 03/17 18:17
flyslam: 7500極限了91F 03/17 18:17
pezon123: 723292F 03/17 18:17
xx013652: 8k93F 03/17 18:18
adam6693: 720094F 03/17 18:18
ibox5566: 我猜台股會消失95F 03/17 18:18
green0953: 770096F 03/17 18:18
meidong: 395597F 03/17 18:18
ntutmpmpm: 778898F 03/17 18:18
bestoniel: 930099F 03/17 18:19
vaness07: 8300100F 03/17 18:19
Beretta: 6750101F 03/17 18:20
m9100612: 7200102F 03/17 18:20
Scorpion0302: 來猜前低7200103F 03/17 18:20
a7983115: 8500,一堆人滿手現金104F 03/17 18:21
snowdraught: 9487已經跌破 下測5487105F 03/17 18:21
iampig951753: 三千,八成準106F 03/17 18:21
uu5l4yk6u: 5800107F 03/17 18:21
wallacetop: 7200108F 03/17 18:21
leave0316: 6969109F 03/17 18:21
bring777: 一張不賣,奇蹟自來110F 03/17 18:21
neo5277: 不免俗來一下2020111F 03/17 18:21
CandyG: 8600112F 03/17 18:21
SA01: 三月收復12000113F 03/17 18:22
sai0720: 8744114F 03/17 18:22
podon: 5566115F 03/17 18:22
jet80088: 8787116F 03/17 18:23
ETTom: 8400117F 03/17 18:23
justiceyes: 7878 QQ118F 03/17 18:23
chjh20223: 6000119F 03/17 18:24
Flcyndi: 5487120F 03/17 18:24
gn7722: 6500點121F 03/17 18:24
jokem: 4998122F 03/17 18:24
airforce1101: 3600123F 03/17 18:24
chen0625: 誰跟你第一關9527是9487124F 03/17 18:24
q111175: 8000吧 現在還不是台積撐指數的 其他個股早就滿身是血了125F 03/17 18:25
choasX: 7500127F 03/17 18:25
HailToObov: 五千大家就三餐吃饅頭,其餘全買股128F 03/17 18:25
hamaoka: 3000129F 03/17 18:25
AmadeusC: 5000!!!130F 03/17 18:25
redm35: 猜中有發錢嗎?131F 03/17 18:26
blueblueshin: 4500132F 03/17 18:27
kyova: 500點。除了GG,其他倒閉下市133F 03/17 18:27
otis41310: 21點134F 03/17 18:27
Introversion: 3500135F 03/17 18:28
cuteama: 6388136F 03/17 18:28
agvnol: 8650137F 03/17 18:28
rickyang0034: 3899138F 03/17 18:28
NSYSUEE: 7500139F 03/17 18:28
KY1998: 6000~8000140F 03/17 18:28
hdw: 8888141F 03/17 18:28
kyova: 5千點跌破淨值了,不知道是什麼樣的情境~~142F 03/17 18:28
peal1232000: 8700143F 03/17 18:28
meggy956: 0144F 03/17 18:28
kyova: GG佔2000點,然後其他股PB ratio通通0.5?145F 03/17 18:29
max0928895: 7600146F 03/17 18:29
TITAN12: 2330147F 03/17 18:29
jkjkallen: 8444148F 03/17 18:29
vanadiu: 8000149F 03/17 18:29
kyova: 到時候大部分散戶通通失業,要去乞討了,買股幹嘛150F 03/17 18:29
striving: 8500吧151F 03/17 18:30
tinystudio: 3954152F 03/17 18:30
Brian23: 8726153F 03/17 18:30
belleg31636: 3456154F 03/17 18:30
amigowei: 5888點155F 03/17 18:31
shannienie: 7000點156F 03/17 18:31
kikilala1234: 7777157F 03/17 18:31
ecelent: 5000158F 03/17 18:32
werty982730: 7000吧,再多應該就直接5000了159F 03/17 18:32
wbuffet3ds: 7000謝謝160F 03/17 18:32
Franc1224: 4888161F 03/17 18:33
a781106a: 跌破8000就封盤了162F 03/17 18:33
jiemeng: 8700163F 03/17 18:34
secretweapon: 6000164F 03/17 18:35
a134: 8300165F 03/17 18:36
vanPersie20: 2330166F 03/17 18:36
elwin036: 7000跟2008年一樣接近淨值167F 03/17 18:36
Aixtron: 2587168F 03/17 18:37
pageant: 6239169F 03/17 18:37
jason4101: 6000170F 03/17 18:37
blj7331: 7779171F 03/17 18:38
Ceferino: 4250172F 03/17 18:38
dydnt: 8500173F 03/17 18:38
dchow: 6000174F 03/17 18:38
abcd425heart: 6666末日敵基督來臨175F 03/17 18:39
leokwo: 3954176F 03/17 18:39
iamshiao: 估時間比較有意義吧177F 03/17 18:39
sikerkuaitai: 6800178F 03/17 18:40
opop1133: 7700179F 03/17 18:40
oplk: 8796180F 03/17 18:41
ss7216tw: 7000181F 03/17 18:41
ab2u04fu4ab: 沒有無薪假182F 03/17 18:42
nowhere2529: 8200183F 03/17 18:42
ai112039: 那還不空起來184F 03/17 18:43
SeTeVen: 曾銘宗粉絲好期待低點185F 03/17 18:44
tiku123: 七月底 多少就多少.不過對應歐洲的話.台股應7200了186F 03/17 18:44
tetsu0401: 6789187F 03/17 18:44
NYY5566: 5566188F 03/17 18:44
zxcas: 來個8888189F 03/17 18:44
tiku123: 歐洲是領先指標.看他去估計就可以了.190F 03/17 18:44
saixpzooo: 3600191F 03/17 18:45
alice1967: 4200192F 03/17 18:46
pcner081959: 6000 空軍部署完畢 等錢掉下來193F 03/17 18:46
GetMoney: 我估0800092000給你參考194F 03/17 18:46
alice1967: 唉 我覺得我估高了,改3800195F 03/17 18:46
haosan: 7000~8000196F 03/17 18:47
mioaria: 3000197F 03/17 18:47
azazxz123: 7643198F 03/17 18:47
Jabarkas: 太高,3500收199F 03/17 18:47
bbb1987: 7000200F 03/17 18:47
bpwolf: 7500201F 03/17 18:48
tim98tim: 5200202F 03/17 18:48
snsdakb48: 3954203F 03/17 18:48
allison110: 8000~9000204F 03/17 18:49
jones2011: 7200205F 03/17 18:49
KKLEE007: 6800206F 03/17 18:49
shydan071: 7750207F 03/17 18:50
cblade: 7050208F 03/17 18:50
teeo: 3915209F 03/17 18:51
gedadiao: 6200210F 03/17 18:52
slimmama66: 4200211F 03/17 18:52
ncdw: PBR 1.2x212F 03/17 18:52
jerry213: 7800-7900213F 03/17 18:52
Powerfulfox: 8990214F 03/17 18:52
SaintsRow: 7600215F 03/17 18:52
llcjhcom: 1000216F 03/17 18:53
RozenMaidenI: 7200 肺炎-10% 油價-20% 連鎖多重恐慌-10%217F 03/17 18:53
cococat1028: 8087218F 03/17 18:54
fan0226: 6000-7000會進場吧
6000將近一半了219F 03/17 18:54
s97051581: 5000221F 03/17 18:55
Homeparty: 7800222F 03/17 18:55
picacuo: 各位大大救我,我是一張不賣奇蹟自來的存股族,但幾223F 03/17 18:55
ken781222: 7450224F 03/17 18:55
picacuo: 年來配息的都賠光了 價差也都沒了 還倒賠....225F 03/17 18:55
jeff79723: 5000226F 03/17 18:56
Mysex: 85~9000227F 03/17 18:56
linaa01: pbr 0.9~1.1X 5850~7150228F 03/17 18:56
yafx4200p: 8200229F 03/17 18:57
quarters: 8346230F 03/17 18:58
threeyuan: 4000選我231F 03/17 18:58
jie1020: 4/17前摸到7500,雞牌100份,我請!!232F 03/17 18:58
dinotea: 5987233F 03/17 18:59
Azabulu: 4000不能再低了234F 03/17 18:59
EdisonAT: 6012235F 03/17 18:59
onepiecefan: 8300236F 03/17 18:59
kaikai5566: 5250237F 03/17 19:00
avrw: 2xxx,破3000。238F 03/17 19:01
jeromeshih: 6000239F 03/17 19:01
j32072: 9000-8800之間240F 03/17 19:01
neoa01: 6000241F 03/17 19:02
vtgc161: 機率論,9371242F 03/17 19:03
AWhopaWhoA: 6666243F 03/17 19:03
s1014072: 500244F 03/17 19:04
cash0221: 7878245F 03/17 19:05
chiguang: 6700246F 03/17 19:05
FireSunFire: 7980247F 03/17 19:05
※ 編輯: andycat5566 (180.204.140.145 臺灣), 03/17/2020 19:11:24
JMashburn: 2330248F 03/17 19:06
pttstock: 8500249F 03/17 19:07
Pesta: 7887250F 03/17 19:07
eiugene: 7978251F 03/17 19:07
lysing12: 7638啦252F 03/17 19:08
q65810: 6532253F 03/17 19:08
weiweialien: 7800254F 03/17 19:09
arkun: 6999255F 03/17 19:09
stock168: 4267.4256F 03/17 19:10
verashing: 5555257F 03/17 19:10
win1109: 5555258F 03/17 19:11
tteeccddyy: 2800259F 03/17 19:13
Moneybank: 5487260F 03/17 19:13
lika32: 5000261F 03/17 19:16
EkkoCarriesU: 7488262F 03/17 19:17
MicroLan: 6666263F 03/17 19:18
aazz32520: 3500264F 03/17 19:19
northsoft: 3000265F 03/17 19:19
Biglottery: 7777266F 03/17 19:20
ChangZhu: 8700不能再低了267F 03/17 19:21
kuaiphoto: 5566268F 03/17 19:23
sellasheep: 8726269F 03/17 19:23
ups: 7268270F 03/17 19:23
even2300471: 9000271F 03/17 19:24
ilovecat5566: 9000ㄅ272F 03/17 19:24
mikehuang12: 5487273F 03/17 19:24
sharring: 6000274F 03/17 19:25
hanshsu: 5869275F 03/17 19:25
shala: 9100276F 03/17 19:26
uglily: 8000277F 03/17 19:26
sprucewind: 9000278F 03/17 19:27
sushi11: 台股空將下市279F 03/17 19:29
Arjuju99: 5000梭280F 03/17 19:29
dakkk: 7000281F 03/17 19:30
y0811321: 8000282F 03/17 19:30
Mues: 8000283F 03/17 19:31
Edgekinger: 卡284F 03/17 19:31
test100fen: 8900285F 03/17 19:31
izumira: 7500286F 03/17 19:31
lanhow: 4000287F 03/17 19:32
keyman2: 6150288F 03/17 19:32
smallken0410: 6633289F 03/17 19:32
MinJun5566: 6000吧290F 03/17 19:33
NBC427: 4300291F 03/17 19:33
xxxhiz: 7000左右吧292F 03/17 19:34
A5343138: 3800~4500293F 03/17 19:34
airyumin: 開個6000點給他…294F 03/17 19:34
ms0443001: 8365295F 03/17 19:34
smellrat: 100296F 03/17 19:35
deshuge1: 6000297F 03/17 19:35
wei92919: 4578298F 03/17 19:36
kanehhh: 8800我最愛的一支手機299F 03/17 19:37
monkeydpp: 5201300F 03/17 19:37
YCHsiao5566: 7777301F 03/17 19:38
thindust: 8500302F 03/17 19:38
asd01248967: 6486303F 03/17 19:38
hchs31705: 6387304F 03/17 19:39
germanism414: 5978不是我給崗305F 03/17 19:39
yongsing222: 7000~8000 解藥就出來了306F 03/17 19:40
RBTMLhiy: 3000307F 03/17 19:40
questionboy: 3363 選我正解308F 03/17 19:41
kobe7785075: 6000309F 03/17 19:41
sleepmilk: 7487。310F 03/17 19:41
godass: 4260311F 03/17 19:41
jlblin: 十年線減20%就差不多了,3字頭看不到啦312F 03/17 19:44
ookimoo: 3000313F 03/17 19:45
fhsh115: 7800314F 03/17 19:46
omk1211: 4500315F 03/17 19:48
Mr12: 5566316F 03/17 19:48
chungj: 一天跌250預計兩個月後就歸零了317F 03/17 19:48
object: 8740318F 03/17 19:49
ja1295: 6700319F 03/17 19:50
sasaogidada: 5278320F 03/17 19:50
d0230: 3636321F 03/17 19:51
billionaire: 8800322F 03/17 19:51
Lukas8b90G: 6500323F 03/17 19:52
kk87822: 7000左右吧324F 03/17 19:52
x2002s: 4958325F 03/17 19:53
book2381: 3000326F 03/17 19:53
wei7799: 7675327F 03/17 19:53
WusoAiwen: 7878不能再低了328F 03/17 19:54
awei0128: 6000329F 03/17 19:56
weivvv: 395330F 03/17 19:56
edward198791: 4800331F 03/17 19:59
u9912114: 1000332F 03/17 20:00
dnm08: 破9000禁空8400國安基金開會8000進場333F 03/17 20:00
sccj: 2000334F 03/17 20:00
WBS0615: 6600335F 03/17 20:03
neo5277: 2020336F 03/17 20:03
gojin: 一塊兩毛五337F 03/17 20:04
pptipad: 6800338F 03/17 20:04
Jaymainal: 13000339F 03/17 20:08
itwt: 8547340F 03/17 20:10
seadown: 8500341F 03/17 20:10
jpy: 8892342F 03/17 20:10
shian0222: 先看個7000343F 03/17 20:11
zxzx0521: 3682點 選我正解344F 03/17 20:12
vlee: 武漢肺炎會擴散,只有他會讓台股到3000,再抄低。希望自己撑過沒死345F 03/17 20:13
Becauseloves: 你忘了有護盤嗎? 怎麼可能低到6000347F 03/17 20:14
digodi: 4444。348F 03/17 20:14
rahim: 7000-8000349F 03/17 20:14
jur1512: 7000350F 03/17 20:14
clamperni: 今天351F 03/17 20:15
wed1979: 5698....7月底...352F 03/17 20:18
cucugo: 6837353F 03/17 20:19
kevinaa: 426354F 03/17 20:22
kkevinhess1t: 7500355F 03/17 20:26
t88965: 對折再對折我把自己也對折 2500啦356F 03/17 20:28
ikariamman: 7000357F 03/17 20:28
asas40123: 6600好了358F 03/17 20:30
sospeter: 8468359F 03/17 20:32
hsuehroger: 6200360F 03/17 20:34
eric7751: 8400361F 03/17 20:35
karta143821: 說9000底的先笑死362F 03/17 20:38
sbilor: 6~7000, 90%363F 03/17 20:42
richard85: 8787364F 03/17 20:43
lyh39: 2700左右365F 03/17 20:44
TheFusion: 7000多366F 03/17 20:44
kkjjkkjj: 3000367F 03/17 20:45
spppeter: 6400368F 03/17 20:46
newstarisme: 8500+/-300369F 03/17 20:49
dryadd52379: 7000附近370F 03/17 20:50
gigikaka: 8800371F 03/17 20:50
shaly0815: 8200372F 03/17 20:52
jean78815: 7000左右 不能再低了373F 03/17 20:54
will501: 6606374F 03/17 20:57
vivian0884: 9100375F 03/17 21:00
testhaha: 好啦,9000376F 03/17 21:02
ezoboy: 6500-7500377F 03/17 21:03
extrafree: 3000378F 03/17 21:03
andykao082: 7000以上379F 03/17 21:08
odddriver: 5000down380F 03/17 21:17
lovecab: 7696381F 03/17 21:18
tokyoboy: 我估7000點左右382F 03/17 21:20
bookbnnbnn: 8000383F 03/17 21:21
hhwwhw: 6530384F 03/17 21:21
z70126: 5566+1=5567385F 03/17 21:24
hypoge: 7500386F 03/17 21:28
tinglottery: 12000387F 03/17 21:37
bob1039b: 7000388F 03/17 21:40
ivy3052001: 6500-7000389F 03/17 21:44
yuinghoooo: 應該6000多 腰斬390F 03/17 21:46
km612tw: 4817391F 03/17 21:51
girld: 6000392F 03/17 21:59
questioner: 5000..... 太看不起了吧393F 03/17 22:05
antigay44: 想太多,針腳碰800就偷笑了394F 03/17 22:06
Cireiat: 6330不用謝了395F 03/17 22:07
numeronius: 8888 發大財396F 03/17 22:26
vencil: 8700397F 03/17 22:31
Kkccy: 7000398F 03/17 22:38
Cassgo: 5069399F 03/17 22:45
ilovedaodao: 4000400F 03/17 23:02
ymit: 7000左右+1401F 03/17 23:10
FirePopcorn: 6000402F 03/17 23:15
pennylins: 8000403F 03/17 23:19
Zaqjim: 6500404F 03/17 23:26
carlos159357: 頂多8000405F 03/17 23:31
glayds: 8600406F 03/17 23:35
Vhiilrvp: 5600407F 03/17 23:54
tp6m6d93: 9487408F 03/18 00:25
Petrovsky: 6500409F 03/18 00:37
operatorm: 2000410F 03/18 00:42
bobo30: 8787411F 03/18 01:01
iuirigi: $.......412F 03/18 02:35
tlu3: 67左右吧,多頭十年該順勢修正413F 03/18 03:30
Chikarable: 8000414F 03/18 03:34
wyl0638: 9527 我阿罵託夢給的415F 03/18 06:20
laechan: 不忍估416F 03/18 07:47
TR55: 8888417F 03/18 08:36

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