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來源:The Athletic(須付費)
https://theathletic.com/3328595/2022/05/23/nba-draft-combine-analysis/
作者:John Hollinger與Sam Vecenie

The 2022 NBA Draft Combine has come and gone, with the event achieving its
usual goal of kicking off the draft cycle in earnest. John Hollinger was on
the ground in Chicago, and Sam Vecenie worked the phone lines from afar, each
tirelessly drinking coffee and gaining intel from the event. Here’s what
they learned:



How do we make the combine more valuable for attendees?

The first thing everyone talks about at the combine is how to make it better.
To its credit, the league has made some progress, encouraging five-on-five
participation, streamlining the “agent workouts” (more on these in a
minute) and tweaking the event’s timing so that only four teams are still
playing when it happens.

That said, what do you think is going to happen when a couple hundred people
get together to talk shop? As ever, the gripes were abundant:

我們如何使聯合試訓對於參加者來說更有價值?



你覺得當幾百人聚在了一起談論這些公事會發生甚麼?如同過往,抱怨還是很多的:

A continuing bug in the program is getting the top-ranked players to
participate. While no sane person thinks a potential top-five pick will
actually play basketball here, the reluctance of many prospects to submit to
health and medical examinations has been a sore spot. The league can’t
compel players who are not yet part of the NBA to participate in such tests,
but one wonders if it could create a workaround in the next CBA. For
instance, requiring players who want to enter the draft early to submit to
health and medical exams at the combine would effectively eliminate the
problem.



A more maddening issue has been players’ unwillingness to participate in the
five-on-five portion of the combine, even if they probably should to improve
their draft stock. In a way, this mechanism could end up being
self-correcting. Several players moved up teams’ boards in 2021 partly as a
result of playing in Chicago, including a few who vaulted into the first
round (notably 12th pick Joshua Primo, 24th pick Josh Christopher and 25th
pick Quentin Grimes).



With this year’s solid play of Santa Clara’s Jalen Williams and some others
foreboding the same (more on that below), one wonders if agents will stop
overplaying their hands. Several players who either stood pretty firmly in
second-round territory (Marquette’s Justin Lewis, Duke’s Wendell Moore) or
had little to lose by playing five-on-five (G League Ignite’s Jaden Hardy,
Milwaukee’s Patrick Baldwin, Michigan State’s Max Christie) nonetheless sat
out that portion. Amusingly, NC State’s Terquavion Smith pulled out of the
second day of games after “proving” himself with a 6-for-17 shooting
performance in the first one.



The so-called pro days or “agent workouts” arranged by agent groups
continue to be a leading source of griping from front office personnel. These
are little more than shows run by the agents to showcase their clients
running and dunking, and definitely not playing basketball against another
human being. The general opinion was that they were near-worthless as a
player-evaluation tool and incredibly time-consuming at a time when execs don
’t have a ton of free hours.



Nonetheless, team reps felt obligated to attend because everyone else was
going, and because they didn’t want to insult the agents. Everyone admits it
’s mostly fake hustle, but in some cases, there is real value for team execs
who haven’t been on the road as much. If they haven’t seen a prospect in
the flesh yet, this can be their best chance to get eyes on a first-round
prospect they expect to be long gone before they pick. Occasionally, an
agency might roll out a three-on-three that features a couple of interesting
prospects.



While the league at least coordinated to put a bunch of these workouts in
Chicago rather than forcing team execs to travel hither and yon (a few others
are concentrated on Southern California next week), that puts additional
pressure on the week’s already compressed schedule. Staff often had to go
from long days interviewing prospects directly to agent workouts at night.
The most prominent emotion by Friday was exhaustion.



But enough of our whining. What other scuttlebutt emerged from the week in
Chicago?

抱怨夠多了。我們這禮拜在芝加哥還聽到了哪些內線呢?

Orlando winning the lottery could throw a monkey wrench on draft night. While
most draft analysts have Jabari Smith Jr. rated as the top prospect, John
Hollinger Spies think the Magic are leaning toward selecting Chet Holmgren.
Of course, that would play to their type. This front office’s track record
reveals an obsession with length, so one can easily connect the dots there.


Chet非常符合他們的球風。魔術管理層的歷史紀錄也透露他們對於長人的熱愛,所以大家都

能推敲出來。

On the other hand, some league insiders immediately second-guessed that first
instinct. Are the Magic just playing on their length-based reputation to bait
Oklahoma City into trading up from No. 2? Let the game of smoke signals begin.

同時,有些聯盟內線立刻想到了另一種可能性。有可能其實不是魔術對於長人的熱愛,而是
他們想要迫使奧克拉荷馬雷霆將第二順位向上交易?猜測戰爭的號角吹響了。

Most people who spoke with The Athletic expect a lot of trade and player
movement leading up to the draft and beyond. Even in the lottery, we could
see some action. Sacramento has a clear win-now expectation, several front
office members on the last year of their contracts and the fourth pick in the
draft burning a hole in its pocket. One suspects that pick might be in play
in return for some wing help.



The pick that seems even more certain to be on the move is Portland’s at No.
7, with sources saying the Blazers will push to immediately put a competitive
team around Damian Lillard rather than start over. Detroit’s Jerami Grant
has been the hot name here, but the Blazers could look at other options.



We were critical of the Lakers’ decision to not pay a team cash to take
DeAndre Jordan at the trade deadline, but it may pay off at the draft. L.A.
has been open about using its remaining cash stash (the Lakers can put $4.7
million into a trade between now and July 1) to buy its way into the second
round, where the Lakers currently do not have a pick. The Lakers’ scouting
department has built up an impressive track record of finding sleepers late
in the draft, so it will be interesting to see who they might target. (One
other note for the cap nerds: The Lakers still could have done a Jordan trade
and then bought their second-rounder in a pre-arranged trade when the new cap
year’s cash rolls over on July 1; that has been done before, but also would
have impacted their flexibility for 2022-23.)



Other teams with multiple picks are expected to try to move up in the draft,
which could make trading down profitable for those picking in the late
lottery and teens. Oklahoma City, for instance, has picks at No. 12 and No.
30 and a surfeit of future picks to sweeten a deal; using those to move up
and nab a targeted player seems like a no-brainer. Other multi-first-rounder
teams to watch include San Antonio (Nos. 9, 20 and 25), Charlotte (Nos. 13
and 15) and Memphis (Nos. 22 and 29). San Antonio, in particular, had a sea
of staff at the combine intently watching the proceedings.

有多個選秀權的球隊會更想向上交易,這可能使得那些目標在選那堆青少年及樂透後段球員
並願意向下球隊的球隊有利可圖。舉例來說,奧克拉荷馬雷霆擁有第12與第30順位以及多個
未來選秀權就可能使得這個操作更加甜美;用這些選秀權來獲取一名相較沒有疑慮的球員。
其他可以關注的多選秀權球隊還有聖安東尼奧馬刺(9 20 25),夏洛特黃蜂(13 15)及灰熊(
22 29)。尤其是馬刺,他們在聯合體測中派出了人員海來密切關注體測過程。

Finally, Oklahoma City’s pick at No. 30 was the topic of other speculation.
Michigan forward Caleb Houstan was notably absent from the week’s
proceedings, with many league insiders suspecting he had a promise from a
team in return for shutting down his draft process. Suspicion immediately
went to the Thunder, given their surplus of picks and long history of making
their draft pick in April. Houstan wouldn’t even be the first Michigan guy
they did this with. (Hello, Mitch McGary!)



A Shaedon Sharpe sighting Shaedon Sharpe觀察

If the NBA Draft has a mystery man within the top 10, it is indeed Sharpe, a
6-foot-5 wing from Canada who committed to Kentucky early this season, got on
campus for the second semester, sat out the season and then declared for the
draft as an early entrant. He is eligible for the draft by nature of having
graduated high school before the 2021-22 NBA season began and by turning 19
before the end of 2022.



Evaluators got a chance to see him go through one of those one-on-zero
workouts on Monday held by his agency. Per the sources in attendance, he ran
through a number of drills put on by trainers and got a chance to show off
some of his shot-making ability and leaping. Still, the main takeaway from
evaluators and decision-makers who spoke with The Athletic was essentially, “
What did we actually learn here?”



As mentioned above, that is a typical takeaway from evaluators sitting
through these types of workouts. But it felt a bit more pronounced with Sharpe
’s for a few reasons, including the absence of valuable game film on him. A
lot of what came through from sources was that absolutely nothing was done at
game speed, with most of the drills in terms of his handle being executed
more slowly than what he’ll face on an NBA court. He didn’t do anything
complex. For a player who few have actually seen at high-level game speed
much, the workout didn’t provide any insight into the actual questions to
which decision-makers would like some semblance of an answer before
potentially selecting him on draft night. It was a prime example of why these
pro days can be so frustrating.



This shouldn’t be mistaken for saying that Sharpe performed poorly. Those in
attendance said he looked very bouncy, and his in-person length impressed
those who were seeing him for the first time. He didn’t burn the net down or
anything with his shooting, but hit enough shots off the catch and his own
dribble — particularly stepbacks and side-steps — to showcase his long-term
potential. But no one is going to be rushing to the podium based on Monday’s
workout.



Sharpe backed up that workout by confirming those measurements, coming in at
6-foot-5 in shoes with a 6-foot-11.5 wingspan and a good standing reach for a
wing. He then opted out of the rest of the proceedings.

Sharpe在體測展示了他的身材條件,6尺5吋的穿鞋身高與6尺11.5吋的臂展以及以側翼來說
很好的摸高。然後他就退出了剩餘的聯合試訓。

The big winner of the combine 試訓的贏家們

Among actual NBA Draft Combine participants — limited as they were — the
name that stood out most often was Santa Clara wing Jalen Williams. It’s
tough to find a part of the proceedings that he didn’t ace. He’s been
rising up the board throughout the pre-draft process as teams go back through
tape at the end of the season to catch up on guys they missed and put the
overall class in context. Both of us had Williams with a first-round grade
coming in, but his stock has exploded into the stratosphere following his
week in Chicago.



First and foremost, he measured at 6-foot-6 with a 7-foot-2 wingspan. His
standing reach came in higher than guys expected to play a lot of minutes at
the four, like E.J. Liddell, David Roddy, Jake LaRavia and Jabari Walker.
Beyond that, Williams is a wing player who can handle the ball to collapse a
defense and make plays for his teammates off passes. He also knocked down 3s
at a 40 percent clip in college. While his defensive ability has raised some
questions, he’s big and long enough to become more versatile as he keeps
developing his frame in NBA strength and conditioning programs.



It all came together in the five-on-five games, where Williams was
outstanding. He was one of the best players on the court in his first day,
helping to lead his team to a late victory. A few guys decided to pull out
after playing well the first day, but Williams doubled down. On the second
day, he put together the best performance from anyone at the event, scoring
19 points on 7-of-8 shooting while completely rolling over the competition.



We obviously shouldn’t go nuts and overrate the importance of these types of
games or events. They don’t overshadow the entirety of the tape and the body
of work Williams put in over the season. But Williams was already getting
second and third looks from teams after they realized how good the tape
really was. NBA scouts and decision-makers at the event sent us more texts
about Williams than any other player at the event who actually participated
in the proceedings. At this point, we expect he ends up being picked near the
top-20 on draft night.


Williams的訊息。在這個時間點,我們預期他會在選秀夜上在前20順位被摘走。

Other five-on-five standouts 其他5v5表現出色的人們

Terquavion Smith (NC State) shut it down after the first scrimmage at the
combine. He dropped 17 points to lead his team. It wasn’t the most efficient
outing, but he showcased real ability to get to his shot whenever he wanted.
On the back of strong athletic testing and a good shooting day, Smith should
feel like he’s in a good spot heading into the rest of the cycle, even if he
only went 6-for-17. As much as anything, that says a lot about how low the
standard is for playing well and how much prospects can gain from playing
five-on-five.



Andrew Nembhard (Gonzaga) missed the first day of scrimmages with a thigh
injury, but made up for lost time on the final day, with a 26-point,
11-assist outburst that was easily the best single-game performance of the
week. His passing was a known quantity, but his ability to make pull-up
jumpers off the dribble in the pick-and-roll answered some scouts’ questions
about his scoring ability.


Kofi Cockburn (Illinois) has his limitations as a traditional beast-ball big
man, but he had the best per-minute game score of any player to play on both
days. His frame (a rock-solid 7-0 in shoes with a 7-4 wingspan) makes him a
relatively safe pick as a backup five. He’ll be in the mix in the second
round for teams looking for size.



Drew Timme (Gonzaga) opened some eyes by making four 3-pointers on the second
day of scrimmages — he was 5-of-8 overall — and also had a legendary
protest of a traveling call against him. Timme measured 6-9 in shoes and will
need to play the four at the next level. He showed enough skill to
potentially pull it off.

Drew Timme(Gonzaga)他在試訓第二天投進的4顆三分球擦亮了許多人的眼睛--總計8投5中
--並有著傳奇的走步抗議。Timme穿鞋身高6尺9吋並需要在NBA打四號位。他已經展示了要
滿足這需求的技能。

Dereon Seabron (NC State) measured short (6-6 in shoes, not the 6-7 he was
listed at in college) and isn’t a shooter, but his ability to get downhill
and complete a variety of finishes at the rim again separated him.

Dereon Seabron(北卡州大)的身高比他大學時報的矮(穿鞋6尺6吋而非他報的6尺7吋)且不
是一名射手,但他切入並在籃框附近進球的能力造就他與眾不同。

Some five-on-five disappointments 幾名令人失望的5v5球員

In a crowded field of shooting guards, Keon Ellis (Alabama) struggled to
distinguish himself in the two games. He wasn’t bad so much as invisible,
scoring just nine points in the two games with few other additions to the box
score.

在眾多的得分後衛之中,Keon Ellis(阿拉巴馬)在兩場比賽中一直找不到自己的定位。他沒
有到隱形,但只在兩場比賽得了9分並其他數據都不出色。

David Roddy (Colorado State) missed all six of his 3-point attempts and shot
5-of-17 overall. Scouts have seen enough of his shooting to trust that the
misfires from deep were not indicative of his long-range marksmanship, but
his inability to make more of an impact in other facets of the game will add
to the concerns about how his body type translates to the next level.



Canadian mystery man Leonard Miller narrowly edged out Roddy and Ellis for
the lowest per-minute game score of the two games. A raw teenager, he missed
a number of open 3-point looks and looked lost on defense. He might do well
to spend a year of seasoning in college or the G League before jumping to the
NBA.



LaRavia Madness LaRavia瘋狂

The draft community buzzed with speculation following Jake LaRavia’s choice
to not play five-on-five action, wondering if the Wake Forest forward had a
promise following a strong first day at the combine. He measured out at
6-foot-8, he tested well athletically for what was expected, and he was one
of the best players to participate in the shooting drills. He also posted one
of the best scores in the lane-agility drill, a surprising result for a
player whose main concern for teams revolves around his ability to defend
guards out on the perimeter when in switches.



Ultimately, LaRavia pulled out of the rest of the events simply because he
and his agency are comfortable with his general range, not because he already
has a specific destination. The goal was to show that he could shoot and that
he was more athletic than expected, and that mission was accomplished by the
time Wednesday night rolled around. LaRavia should be expected to hear his
name called somewhere in the top 35 on draft night and has a very good chance
starting at pick No. 20. Size, shooting and elite feel for the game are a
tough combination to find, and a lot of contenders have real interest in him
within those final 10 picks of the first round.



Measurement guys 體測球員

Mark Williams (Duke) came in at 7-foot-2 in shoes with a 7-foot-7 wingspan
and a 9-foot-9 standing reach. That standing reach is actually the
second-biggest of all time behind Celtics legend Tacko Fall. Williams has a
very good chance to hear his name called in the lottery on draft night by the
end of the process.



Likely lottery pick Dyson Daniels (G League Ignite) backed up his rumored
growth in terms of height, measuring 6-foot-7 1/2 in shoes as a guy who plays
about half of his time as a lead guard. He also has a 6-foot-10 1/2 wingspan
and an 8-foot-10 standing reach that is among the elite for combo guards in
the last decade. NBA teams had been hearing for weeks that Daniels had grown
over the last year, so getting this down on paper for him was enormous. He’s
likely to hear his name called in the top 10.



Wisconsin guard Johnny Davis did himself some good by coming in at more than
6-foot-4 without shoes, when some teams had some very real concerns that he’
d be about that height with shoes. At 6-foot-5 3/4 in shoes with an 8-foot-7
1/2 standing reach, Davis looks well-suited to playing either wing position
now as opposed to coming in with measurements that would leave him
position-locked as a two.



Tari Eason (LSU) measured as well as expected at 6-foot-8 in shoes with a
7-foot-2 wingspan. The thing that popped off the page though was his 11-inch
hand-width. That’s essentially a Kawhi Leonard-like mark, as the former San
Diego State forward had 11 1/4-inch hands when he was at the combine back in
2011. Eason had the biggest hands at this combine. It’s hard to come up with
a more ideal frame for a combo forward than Eason’s.



Overtime Elite forward Dom Barlow has drawn real interest from NBA teams
throughout this process due to his size, athleticism, length and shooting
ability. He’s definitely a project, but his measurements confirmed why he’s
a project that’s worth the investment. Barlow came in at 6-foot-10 in shoes
with a 9-foot standing reach and a 7-foot-3 wingspan. That’s even bigger
across the board than what teams expected, along with 10 1/2-inch hands. The
hype with Overtime Elite all season has been centered around Jean Montero. It
wouldn’t be a surprise to see Barlow actually be the first OTE player
selected.


Overtime菁英的球員整季都圍繞著Jean Montero打球。如果Barlow成為這個計畫中第一名
被NBA選中的球員我也不會意外。

A couple of other perimeter players with great length/enormous hand
combinations: Justin Lewis at Marquette was 6-foot-7 1/2 with a 7-foot-2 1/2
wingspan, along with 10 1/2-inch hands. NBA teams already had Leonard Miller’
s measurements from Nike Hoop Summit, but he also came in again at 6-foot-10
with a 7-foot-2 wingspan and 10 1/2-inch hands. Guys with these kinds of
frames and perimeter-style games tend to figure it out at the NBA level at
some point in their trajectory. Think O.G. Anunoby, Jerami Grant, Christian
Wood, Pascal Siakam and others. These guys all went outside of the top 20,
but made it work at the next level. Don’t be surprised if the Barlows,
Lewises and Millers of the world end up being the next ones to do so.

有幾名外圍球員也有著值得注意的長/大手組合:馬奎特的Justin Lewis6尺7.5吋身高7尺
2.5吋臂展卻有著10.5吋的掌寬。NBA球隊在Nike高峰會就已經取得Leonard Miller的體測
數據,但他有著6尺10吋的身高7尺2吋的臂展與10.5吋的掌寬。這一類的球員在NBA越來越能
找到他們的生涯路程。想想OG Anunoby, Jerami Grant, Christian Wood, Pascal Siakam
這些球員。而這些人都不在前20順位的預測但可能可以在下一個層級發展出來。如果有更
多的Barlow,Lewis及Miller打出名堂也不要感到太意外。

Some other surprises: Drew Timme came in with a plus-six wingspan, although
as referenced previously he did come in just a touch shorter than hoped at
6-foot-9 …Baylor wing Kendall Brown came in a bit shorter than expected with
a 8-foot-7 standing reach, meaning he’s much more of a three than a four
size-wise, even with his athleticism. … Purdue center Trevion Williams was
just 6-foot-8 in shoes, but he came in with a 7-foot-3 wingspan and a
9-foot-1/2 standing reach that will give him a shot to stick as a smaller,
skilled center. He also was slimmed down a bit more than expected, which was
a good sign for his continued physical improvement. … Arizona wing Dalen
Terry only measured, but he did so outstandingly with a 6-foot-7 height in
shoes and a near-7-foot-1 wingspan that will give teams hope on his
developmental pathway as a bigger guard that can slide down to the wing.

其他意外:雖然Timme只有著比預期更矮的6尺9吋身高,但他量出了+6臂展...貝勒側翼


G League Elite Camp G League菁英訓練營

The G League Elite Camp wasn’t exactly a standout environment this year, a
likely byproduct of the NBA choosing to invite an entirely preposterous 76
players to the combine. NBA scouts came away from the event believing that
very few guys were truly NBA caliber, but it’s worth mentioning those guys.
All four of these players earned call-ups to the NBA Draft Combine itself.



Marcus Sasser, Houston: Sasser was the one guy who got nearly unanimous
praise from scouts. Returning for the first time from a foot injury that made
him miss a large portion of the season, he put on a terrific shooting display
in the first scrimmage and looked like the best player. He was the one guy
most scouts thought was a genuine NBA player that had a shot at earning not
just a two-way contract, but a roster spot to start his career. Sasser is
still testing the waters and has two terrific options. Either he’ll receive
assurances that make him comfortable enough to stay in the draft, or he’ll
return to college where he’ll be a likely All-American on a Houston team
that could be the best in college hoops next season. Additionally, he’ll get
to play with a pair of freshman prospects NBA scouts will watch closely in
Jarace Walker and Terrance Arceneaux. There’s no losing for Sasser here.



Jared Rhoden, Seton Hall and Tyrese Martin, Connecticut: A pair of tough,
physical wings from the Big East who parlayed great outings at the Portsmouth
Invitational into strong G League camps and combine invites. Both defended
well and attacked the basket, using mature frames to overpower some of the
younger guys at both events. Rhoden is slightly more interesting to a wider
swath of NBA teams due to his elite length, but both should expect to end up
as two-way contract players. Each of them has really helped themselves
throughout the pre-draft process.



Kenneth Lofton Jr., Louisiana Tech: Lofton showed much more perimeter game
than expected, despite being visibly overweight. The lefty’s capacity with
jab step moves from the 3-point line was particularly notable; he earned a
promotion to the main event after initially shining in the G League Elite
camp to start the week. Much like Sasser, Lofton is still testing his draft
stock. He’s also in the transfer portal and has a bevy of suitors after him.
He should probably head down that route, continue to improve his conditioning
— he looked to be in better shape than he was in college this past year —
 and keep expanding his game. Whereas he was more of a longshot candidate
entering this week, the flashes he showed as a ballhandler and shooter put
him more on the radar than he was prior to his efforts in Chicago.



心得:

懶人包:
1.魔術可能想選Chet Holmgren

2.經紀人舉辦的Showcase一點屁用也沒有 請大家乖乖參加試訓

3.本次可能會有不少交易

4.湖人省錢不找人裁DAJ不是沒有原因的

5. Jalen Williams及一些Combine打的好的球員值得注意 如同Primo一樣被早選也不要太
意外 因為NBA球隊越來越重視Combine了

6. 一些體測的贏家

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