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美國第2大的週刊《新聞週刊》(newsweek)前天寫了一篇報導

標題: 台灣人口危機惡化 Taiwan’s Population Crisis Worsens

gpt 懶人包

1. 連 21 個月「死亡＞出生」，人口危機不是警鐘而是現實
台灣已非偶發波動，而是持續性結構轉折；死亡長期＞出生，顯示少子化與老化同時加深
“Deaths exceeded births in Taiwan for the 21st straight month… underscoring
the deepening demographic crisis.”

2. 為何重要：低生育會拖慢長期經濟動能
不只人口數變少，還會反映在勞動力、內需與創新動能；各國的經驗已證實這不是短期補
貼能解的。
“Falling birth rates… have raised alarms about the long-term effects on
economic growth.”

3. 台灣的難度更高：同時面臨快速老化與極低生育
社福支出被擠壓，生得少、老得快的雙重壓力，讓調整空間更小、速度要更快。
“Taiwan's challenge is particularly acute as its fast-aging population
strains social safety nets while its fertility rate… continues to slide.”


“Taiwan’s population stood at 23,371,031… a decline of more than 87,000,

or 0.37 percent…”

5. 家庭更小、負擔不一定更輕：平均每戶 2.37 人再創低點
家戶規模縮小，育兒與照護成本卻相對集中在更少的大人身上，形成「小家戶大壓力」。
“The average household size was 2.37 people—down 0.13 from September 2024.”

6. 新生兒 8,603：月增但年減，代表反彈力道不足
比 8 月略多，但仍比去年同月少 3,189，短期波動掩不住長期下行斜率。
“The island recorded 8,603 newborns in September… but still 3,189 fewer
than in the same month last year.”

7. 粗出生率 4.49：比 2024 年的南韓還低，全球垂直落底區
代表每千人活產數極低，若無大幅政策與社會結構調整，難以回升。
“The crude birth rate… was just 4.49—lower even than that of South Korea
in 2024, which was the lowest in the world.”

8. 死亡 15,837：年減但月增，高齡化下的自然結果
年比小降 176，月比增加 161；在老化加劇下，死亡數維持高檔屬常態。
“There were 15,837 deaths in September, down 176 from a year earlier but 161
more than in August.”


"The share of citizens of reproductive age… now accounts for just under 42%"


10. 65 歲以上占比 19.8%：扶養比惡化，壓力轉嫁到青壯與財政
工作人口更少、長照需求更高，財政與家庭同時承壓。
"Those aged 65 and older rose to 19.8%, further widening the dependency ratio"

11. 政策觀點：成本太高、支持太少；不孕補助與職場環境需同步到位
從生育成本、托育、職場對母職友善到高齡不孕支持，都需更實質的「長期政策組合」。
"The first issue is the economic cost of childbirth..Taiwan's investment remain
s inadequate…Subsidies for infertility treatment should also be expanded”

12. 走向與未知：今年邁入「超高齡」，3 萬元生育金難當萬靈丹
官方估年底達 20% 高齡占比；國際經驗顯示僅靠金錢誘因難逆轉，還要解決長工時與職
場性別瓶頸。
"Officials expect Taiwan to… a super-aged society'… by the end of the year..
approved… a one-time cash allowance of NT$30,000… Whether… can reverse the
decline remains uncertain.”

Newsweek reached out to Taiwan’s de facto embassy in Washington by email
with a request for comment.
最後Newsweek已透過電子郵件向台灣駐美「實質的大使館」函詢意見，正等待回覆。

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※ 作者: usnavyseal 2025-10-24 17:27:27
※ 文章代碼(AID): #1e-qQ3si (Gossiping)
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Gossiping/M.1761298051.A.DAC.html