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原文標題：U.S. Creates 390K Jobs in May, Ahead of Expectations

原文連結：https://ibit.ly/FoCJ

發布時間：Jun 03, 2022 08:49AM ET

記者署名：Daniel Shvartsman

原文內容：

Investing.com – The U.S. created 390,000 nonfarm jobs in May, beating
expectations of 325,000 amid market concerns over a possible slowdown and the
impact of persistent inflation pitted against continued strength in consumer
spending.

The report showed the unemployment rate staying steady at 3.6%, higher than
expectations of a drop to 3.5%, the pre-pandemic level in the U.S. economy.
On the plus side, participation rate ticked up to 62.3%, slightly ahead of
May's level.

Hourly earnings only rose 0.3% month over month, lower than expectations of a
0.4% rise and in line with last month's number.

On an industry level, services accounted for 274,000 job adds, with leisure
and hospitality leading the way with 84K. Transportation and warehouse also
saw a jump with 47K jobs added, while retail trade shed 60.7K jobs and motor
vehicles and parts saw a decrease of 3,500 jobs. The last sector is on watch
after Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) CEO Elon Musk’s leaked email about job cuts at the
EV automaker.

Prior months’ revisions netted to a decrease of 22,000 jobs between March
and April. Per the BLS report, nonfarm payroll levels are down 822,000 or
0.5% from February 2020.

U.S. stock markets dropped on the strong report, perhaps on the reinforced
conviction that the Federal Reserve will have no choice but to continue its
rapid monetary tightening. At 08:45 am ET (1245 GMT), Dow Jones Futures were
down 0.7% or 223 points, while S&P 500 Futures futures were down 0.9%, and
Nasdaq 100 Futures futures were down 0.94%. The dollar also climbed against
the Euro, as the latter traded at $1.0716.

不負責機器翻譯

美國創造了390，000非農5月份的就業人數超過325，000人的預期，因為市場擔心可能放
緩以及持續通脹的影響，這與消費者支出的持續走強相抵觸。

報告顯示失業率保持在3.6%的穩定水準，高於預期的下降至3.5%，高於美國經濟大流行前
的水準。從好的方面來說，參與率上漲至62.3%，略高於5月份的水準。

時薪環比僅上漲0.3%，低於0.4%的預期，與上個月的數位一致。



前幾個月的修訂在3月至4月期間減少了22，000個工作崗位。根據BLS報告，非農就業水準
比2020年2月下降了822，000或0.5%。

美國股市因強勁報告而下跌，也許是因為人們堅信美聯儲別無選擇，只能繼續其快速的貨
幣緊縮。美國東部時間上午08：45（格林尼治標準時間1245），道瓊斯期貨下跌0.7%或
223點，而標準普爾500指數期貨期貨下跌0.9%，以及納斯達克100指數期貨期貨下跌0.94%
。美元兌歐元，因為後者的交易價格為1.0716美元。


心得/評論：

昨天的小非農開出以後,疊加了Fed升息漸緩的預期,讓股市壓力減緩一些.
但今天的非農開出發現Fed好像沒有太多減緩的誘因...

以下是延伸閱讀




市場研究公司Renaissance Macro Research：這是一份對美聯儲有利的報告。 儘管美聯
儲計劃在6月和7月加息50個基點，但這為美聯儲未來放緩加息步伐創造了可能性。


分析師Chris Anstey：這次非農就業數據仍然非常強勁;3.6%的失業率仍然是一個非常強
勁的數位。 美國經濟失業率持續低於4%是非常罕見的




CME:美聯儲到6月份加息25個基點的概率為0%，加息50個基點的概率為99.3%，加息75個
基點的概率為0.7%;到7月份累計加息25、50個基點、75個基點的概率均為0%，
累計加息100個基點的概率為89.5%，累計加息125個基點的概率為10.4%，
累計加息150個基點的概率為0.1%。

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