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※ 本文為 cuteman0725 轉寄自 ptt.cc 更新時間: 2013-09-02 18:15:41
看板 TY_Research
作者 tytony (混沌的大氣)
標題 [情報] 15W形成
時間 Sun Sep  1 22:46:33 2013


圖:http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp1513.gif
[圖]
 
文:http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp1513web.txt

WTPN31 PGTW 011500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010921ZSEP13//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 001
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   011200Z --- NEAR 25.9N 124.2E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   REPEAT POSIT: 25.9N 124.2E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   020000Z --- 26.7N 125.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   021200Z --- 27.5N 126.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   030000Z --- 28.2N 126.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   031200Z --- 28.5N 127.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   041200Z --- 29.5N 127.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   051200Z --- 31.7N 127.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   061200Z --- 35.9N 130.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   EXTRATROPICAL
    ---
REMARKS:
011500Z POSITION NEAR 26.1N 124.5E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 197 NM
WEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z
IS 7 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z, 020300Z, 020900Z AND 021500Z.
THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN
PEARL HARBOR HI 010921Z SEP 13 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT
(WTPN21 PGTW010930).//
NNNN

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zonslan     :路徑圖第一個點 從桃園登陸 穿過台北盆地 頭城出海XD1F 09/01 22:54
James0322   :不要阿我禮拜二要去日本耶2F 09/01 22:57
Trust18     :!!3F 09/01 22:59
keroromoa   :前面是蘇力的反方向路徑XD4F 09/01 23:02
bismarck3025:連結好像都開不了...5F 09/01 23:05
evilcherry  :到日本也變溫帶氣旋了 就當作電車停駛數小時吧6F 09/01 23:11
evilcherry  :另感覺這真的是在斜風區的南端生成 不熱不溫
ghghfftjack :網址連不上去  是我的問題嗎?8F 09/01 23:38
keroromoa   :Hinet會擋JTWC,請用代理http://anonymouse.org/9F 09/01 23:39
Anonymouse.org
Anonymouse ...
 
keroromoa   :或是用FNMOC也可看JTWC的預測路徑圖(不會被擋)10F 09/01 23:40
physbook    :應該是jtwc擋hinet...11F 09/01 23:42
ghghfftjack :謝謝樓上12F 09/01 23:42
physbook    :直接連 http://goo.gl/vdVw413F 09/01 23:43
hinajian    :Hinet使用者多來源雜,加上很多人資安沒做好變殭屍..14F 09/01 23:55
bismarck3025:感謝~~~15F 09/01 23:58
approved    :如果15W發展起來 不會吸到北方乾冷空氣嗎16F 09/02 00:11
evilcherry  :就是會 所以會在數天內成為溫帶系統GG17F 09/02 00:19
prettyman   :那是否意味它對日本的威脅會遠大於台灣18F 09/02 00:21
s93015a     :冷(雖然乾)空氣和暖空氣的可用位能也是這個系統目前19F 09/02 00:33
s93015a     :的能量來源,所以北方乾冷空氣不算阻力
logdog      :這傢伙的能量來源是否就是冷暖空氣的對峙?21F 09/02 02:10
lina7inverse:連 JTWC 老J請愛用: http://tinyurl.com/ProxyToJTWC22F 09/02 05:03
tytony      :冷暖空氣對峙反而容易變成斜壓系統 可能有其他因素23F 09/02 07:02

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