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來源: ESPN http://goo.gl/I8O3NV

作者: Ethan Sherwood Strauss 2015/4/3


Is MVP race already over?


What had been looking like the best MVP race in years may not even be
competitive at this juncture. Based on our ESPN Forecast survey results, the
award will go to Stephen Curry, barring a miraculous end to the season by
James Harden. Furthermore, it appears Russell Westbrook has little shot at
the trophy.





When asked this question -- “Who WILL win the MVP?” -- 80.5 percent of
respondents voted for Curry, 18.3 percent voted for Harden and 1.2 percent
for Westbrook. Harden garnered more support on the question of “Who SHOULD
win the MVP?” -- getting 32.9 percent of the vote to Curry’s 52.4 percent.
It appears that many of those who believe Harden to be deserving, even after
his 51-point performance against Sacramento on Wednesday night, also believe
that Curry will win anyway.


但有趣的是, 當問題是「你覺得誰會的MVP」, 80.5%的人答Curry, 而Harden則只18.3%

但是被問到「誰應該要是MVP」, 32.9%的人答Harden, 而Curry則有52.4的支持率. 這顯示

即使Harden最近拿新高51分, 他的MVP支持者還是認為Curry會奪得MVP, 即使他們意屬

的是Harden.


How did this happen? It’s mostly about what Curry and the Warriors are doing
of late. In the month of March, the Warriors lost only two times -- one loss
coming on a Jarrett Jack game winner and the other attributable to Kerr
resting starters against Denver. In that same month, Curry hit 75 3-pointers
in a mere 17 games, doing so at a staggering 51.7 percent clip.


但究竟是甚麼原因讓Curry殺出重圍? 一個很大的原因是Curry帶領勇士在三月只輸兩場

比賽, 其中一場還是先發輪休( 也就是Curry帶領之下只輸一場 ). 更誇張的是同月Curry

只在僅僅17場比賽內就轟下75顆三分球( 一場4.4顆 ), 而且命中率還是逆天的51.7%.


The Warriors claim the best point differential since the 1996-97 Chicago
Bulls to go along with a 10.5-game lead in the Western Conference. The Most
Valuable Player award traditionally goes to a top-seeded team, and Golden
State is having a historically great season. Harden has the edge on Curry in minutes played but lags slightly in advanced
statistics such as PER, real plus-minus, win shares per 48 minutes and net
rating. There is an argument to be made that Harden’s aggregate stats amount
to more because he plays more minutes. The counterargument is that Curry
shouldn’t be punished for missing 16 fourth quarters on account of the
Warriors killing the competition.


歷史上的MVP傳統來說出在聯盟戰績最好的隊伍, 而本季勇士隊位居金字塔頂端, Curry

功不可沒.

其實, 哈登在多項數據是稍稍超越Curry的, 如PER, win shares等, 但比這些數據對

Curry並不公平, 因為Harden上場的時間較多, 而Curry時間少是因為常常在比賽的

前三節勇士就把對手打爆, 所以Curry有16場比賽在第四節坐板凳.


It’s difficult to find bad things to say about Harden’s fantastic season,
but this might be slightly hurting his MVP push: Before his 51-point
explosion against the Kings, he was on a 21-game streak of hitting fewer than
half his shots. Of course, Rockets fans -- and GM Daryl Morey, who declined
to comment on these recent poll results -- would be quick to point out that
their candidate usually makes up for off shooting nights with free throws and
3s.




即使命中率差, 但Harden還是靠三分球跟罰球拿很多分阿.


In any event, such arguments are probably moot. MVP voters reward the primary
player on historically successful teams, with few exceptions. Harden has had
a fantastic season, but as impressive as winning 50-plus games with an injury
depleted roster is, it’s likely not enough in this particular season. Unless
he has a few more 50-point games in him, the Beard is likely stuck at second.




要看著MVP被Curry帶走.



心得: 哈登也很努力了, 雖然他打球不好看, 但本季的拚勁的確值得掌聲.


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