看板 NBA
作者 Lumia800 (魯麵)
標題 [外絮] 抽籤室發生了甚麼事情呢
時間 Thu May 18 14:29:22 2023


https://reurl.cc/MRngyn
Lowe - What happened inside the secret NBA lottery drawing room - ESPN
[圖]
Jubilation, anguish and the latest offseason intel: behind the scenes from the most consequential NBA draft lottery room in decades, where the Spurs l ...

 
作者: Zach Lowe

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hI8jEtnd4_0&t=2s&ab_channel=NBA

Back in the drawing room, the first pingpong ball came up: No. 14. Fourteen
balls, numbered 1-14, zip around a classic air-powered lottery machine before
a league attorney stops the machine and sucks one up. That ball becomes the
first of four drawn in sequence, eventually making up a four-number
combination. There are 1,001 possible four-number combinations using the
numbers 1-14. The NBA tosses out one of them -- 11, 12, 13, 14 -- and divides
the rest among the 14 lottery teams based on their team record and lottery
odds.

回到抽籤室第一個號碼出現了"14號"。14顆球1~14號,在樂透機裡面飛舞,聯盟律師
在樂透機前抽出了一顆球。該球成為了由4個號碼組成的獎號的第一顆球。
數字1~14共有1001種組合,而NBA把11.12.13.14這組合去除,並根據14隻球隊戰績與
樂透機率來分配1000種組合

The Spurs, Detroit Pistons and Houston Rockets held 140 combinations apiece
-- 420 of the 1,000. The New Orleans Pelicans, the lottery team with the best
record, owned only five.

馬刺.活賽.火箭各擁有140種組合--1000組的420組。樂透球隊中戰績最好的鵜鶘只有5個

The combinations go in numerical order, so that the worst teams -- Houston,

Detroit, San Antonio -- have almost all the combinations featuring the
numbers 1 and 2. Seeing 14 as the first ball had the whole room in play for
Wembanyama for a fleeting 10-second window. Wright panicked. "Oh my god, we
are out," he thought to himself, Wright told ESPN in the drawing room minutes
after the drawing ended. (ESPN had one of 19 media members present to watch
the drawing.) Each lottery team sends one person to the room to represent
them. They sit in rows, with the teams with the best odds up front and the
long shots in the back.

In that last row, Teresa Resch, the Toronto Raptors vice president of
basketball operations, elbowed Bryson Graham, the New Orleans Pelicans
assistant general manager, when that 14 came up, both recalled: We have a
chance!

獎號是按數字順序排列的,因此戰績最差的球隊火箭.活賽.馬刺有的獎號大多是1或2。
看到14號做為第一顆球,整個房間都在這飛馳的10秒鐘為了Wembanyama戰鬥
Brian Wright(馬刺GM.抽籤代表)慌了心想:「天啊,我們出局了」
每個樂透球隊都會派一名人員到抽籤室,在依機率分排,機率高的在前排差的在後排

當14號出現時在最後一排的Teresa Resch(暴龍運營副總裁)肘擊了Bryson Graham(
鵜鶘協理)「我們有機會!」 兩人回憶道

Ten seconds after the 14, up popped the next ball: 5. Almost everyone was
still in play. Michael Finley, the Dallas Mavericks assistant general
manager, knew that any of the teams below the Mavericks in the lottery
pecking order -- the Raptors, Pelicans, Chicago Bulls and Oklahoma City
Thunder -- leaping into the top-4 could knock the Mavs back from No. 10 to
No. 11. That would have meant the Mavericks sending their top-10 protected
pick to the New York Knicks -- a potential embarrassment given Dallas'
late-season tanking to slide out of the play-in race and into that No. 10
slot. (The NBA fined the Mavericks $750,000 for "conduct detrimental to the
league.")

14號出現的10秒後下一顆球出現了"5號",幾乎所有人都還在比賽中。
Michael Finley(獨行俠協理)知道任何樂透順位排在獨行俠後的球隊,只要進入前四
順位,都可能將獨行俠的順位從10名擠到11名,也意味著會將此選秀權送給尼克隊,
這會讓獨行俠在季末開坦以滑出附加賽的情形非常尷尬


Finley stayed calm, knowing the odds still favored the worst teams. "I wasn't
nervous," he said. Finley won a championship with the Spurs in 2007, and
joked after that drawing that perhaps he should have brought along his Spurs
championship ring for good luck.

Finley保持冷靜,知道機率仍然對最差的球隊有利並說道:「我不緊張」,Finley曾經在
07年跟馬刺贏得冠軍,在抽籤後開玩笑的表示應該戴著馬刺冠軍戒來祈求好運

All around the room, team officials flipped through eight sheets of paper
showing which teams owned each combination. The mood was frantic.

Ten seconds later, the third ball: No. 8. Several teams were still alive.
Brett Greenberg, the Washington Wizards assistant general manager, knew
instantly the Wizards had a chance. All 67 of their combinations had the No.
5 as the lowest digit. There were 11 balls left in the hopper. If the last
ball drawn was No. 7, No. 9, No. 10, No. 11, No. 12 or No. 13, the Wizards
would get Wembanyama. Eleven balls left; six were winners for Washington.

在房間中球隊人員翻閱著顯示著那些球隊擁有的獎號的那8頁紙,情勢非常緊張
10秒後第三顆球"8號"。只剩幾隊還在比賽中,Brett Greenberg(巫師協理)馬上知道巫師
還有機會。巫師所有的67個獎號都以5為最低數字,樂透機還剩下11顆球,如果最後抽到
的是7.9.10.11.12.13,那麼巫師就會得到Wembanyama,還剩11顆球有6顆代表著巫師隊的
勝利


"Holy s---, we have a chance," Greenberg thought to himself. He hunched over
his combination sheets and took a deep breath. Greenberg was well-stocked
with lucky charms: his father's lucky coin (a Kona dollar); a replica 1978
Washington Bullets championship ring; and a silver coin inscribed with the
Wizards logo and the phrase "game-changer" -- a memento Flip Saunders, the
Wizards head coach from 2009-2012, gave to players who made pivotal plays.
Greenberg also wore orange socks -- his grandmother's favorite color.

「靠么我們有機會」Greenberg心想,接著彎著身看他的獎號深吸了一口氣,Greenberg
帶著很多幸運物他爸爸的幸運幣、1978年子彈隊冠軍戒的複製品、刻有巫師隊Logo以及
"遊戲改變者"字樣的銀幣、09-12年巫師教練Flip Saunders送給那些打出關鍵球的球員
的紀念品,Greenberg也穿著橘色的襪子--他奶奶最愛的顏色。


Joel Glass, the Orlando Magic's chief communications officer and drawing room
representative, also knew his team had shot: The No. 4 ball would send
Wembanyama to Orlando. Meanwhile, a No. 6 would give the Indiana Pacers the No. 1 pick. "For a short
second, it was pure joy," Kevin Pritchard, the Pacers president of basketball
operations, told ESPN afterward. A No. 3 ball would have sent Wembanyama to
the Portland Trail Blazers.

Joel Glass(魔術代表)也知道他們還有機會--"4號球"將會把Wembanyama帶到魔術隊,同時
"3號球"會把Wembanyama送到拓荒者,而"6號球"則會送到溜馬隊「有那麼個瞬間是很純
脆的喜悅」Kevin Pritchard(溜馬代表)這麼告訴ESPN

Then the final ball: No. 2. That disqualified most teams, but Wright wasn't
sure if the Spurs owned the winning combination: 14-5-8-2. As Wright scanned
those eight pages, Clay Allen, the Houston Rockets general counsel, tapped
him: "I think that's you," Wright recalled.

A league official announced that it was indeed the Spurs. Wright barely
reacted. He stayed silent and gazed downward until Allen reached over to
shake his hand.

"Brian was way too calm," Graham joked afterward. "I mean, come on!"
"I was going to get up and run around the room," Resch said of her plans to
celebrate if the Raptors had won.

接著最後一球"2號",這讓大多數球隊失去了資格,但是Wright不是很確定馬刺有這組
獎號14-5-8-2,當Wright在檢視那8頁紙的時候,Clay Allen(火箭代表)輕輕拍了他
說:「我覺得是你」 Wright回憶道。
一名官方人員宣布確實是馬刺隊,Wright幾乎沒反應保持沉默低頭凝視直到Allen伸出手
跟他握手。
「Brian太冷靜了」Graham(鵜鶘代表)事後開玩笑說著「I mean, come on!」
「我打算站起來在抽籤室跑來跑去」Resch(暴龍代表)談到如果暴龍贏得樂透的計畫

The drawing was largely anticlimactic after that, with the Charlotte Hornets,
Blazers and Rockets claiming picks No. 2-4 in that order.
After the drawing, everyone stays in the room for about an hour until the
televised reveal is over. No one is allowed to leave. Everyone in the room
surrenders their phones, tablets, laptops and smart watches upon entering so
that no one can communicate the results to the outside world. The attendees
gossip and eat until watching ESPN's lottery broadcast -- the only people
alive who know the results already.

抽完狀元籤後的抽籤都很沒勁,黃蜂.拓荒者.火箭依序拿了2-4號籤,抽籤結束後,每個人
在房間大概待了一小時,直到電視轉播結束前,任何人不得離開,房間的每個人在進入時
都要交出手機.平板.筆電.智慧手錶,這樣就沒人可以將結果傳達給外界。在場的人員就
場邊吃邊聊直到轉播結束--只有在場的人員知道結果


心得:
原來第四顆球那麼競爭(球池剩11顆),除了文章沒提到的1號 獎號大概率在火箭或活賽
2號-馬刺
3號-拓荒者
4號-魔術
6號-溜馬
7.9.10.11.12.13-巫師

巫師有著6/11的機率呢

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※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 49.216.176.112 (臺灣)
※ 作者: Lumia800 2023-05-18 14:29:22
※ 文章代碼(AID): #1aPSN7F6 (NBA)
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/NBA/M.1684391367.A.3C6.html
※ 同主題文章:
[外絮] 抽籤室發生了甚麼事情呢
05-18 14:29 Lumia800.
IkariD: 光看這文字敘述就有種刺激緊張感1F 05/18 14:31
paracase: 有夠複雜精細的抽籤設計,看了老半天,還是不懂2F 05/18 14:32
mygogocow 
mygogocow: 演電影3F 05/18 14:32
chordate: 沒有那麼難懂吧?就是跟對彩券一樣啊4F 05/18 14:34
www2967: 有錢人都這麼喜歡複雜又刺激嗎5F 05/18 14:34
PanaS0Nic: 上一個這麼受期待的大物是?6F 05/18 14:34
chordate: 只是彩券號碼是自己填的,而NBA抽籤,號碼是事先分7F 05/18 14:35
BronyXrG: 老詹吧?8F 05/18 14:35
T28sc: 巫師應該要吐血了9F 05/18 14:35
Duke0218: 彩券池有1000張 馬刺等爐主買了140張 鵜鶘只買了5張 一起對獎 大概是這樣吧10F 05/18 14:35
chordate: 好給每一隊的,可以看成戰績差的擁有的彩券張數12F 05/18 14:36
keat: 巫師從第一變第八,好痛13F 05/18 14:36
chordate: 比較多,比較容易中14F 05/18 14:36
e8e88: 像是在看小說一樣15F 05/18 14:36
bbo40453: 巫師從雲端到谷底過程太刺激了XD16F 05/18 14:36
bxxl: 他只是把每一顆球開出來的心理過程寫出來17F 05/18 14:37
ebv: 巫師沒中超扯18F 05/18 14:37
onepiecefan: 就排列組合啊 …..只要抽到1 點2開頭的那大機率都是火箭或活塞的19F 05/18 14:37
william12tw: 原來巫師才是最嘔的那個21F 05/18 14:37
AlvaroMorata: 巫師哭暈22F 05/18 14:37
AterPin: 巫師為啥可以這麼多顆都是他 因為第一顆抽到14嗎23F 05/18 14:37
kullan: 太刺激了24F 05/18 14:38
mygogocow 
mygogocow: 樓上,是的25F 05/18 14:38
aifighter: 巫師前三顆就把運氣用完了26F 05/18 14:38
nckux56: 就跟對樂透一樣啊 沒有很難懂27F 05/18 14:38
kobe30418: 巫師那個教練果然帶賽28F 05/18 14:39
altonha: 請問為什麼要把11 12 13 14 這組拿掉?29F 05/18 14:39
leedonsee: 還好沒被巫師抽到 天曉得斑馬會不會變成小馬30F 05/18 14:39
hawk920412: 因為剛好1000組比較好分配31F 05/18 14:39
aifighter: 因為是1001組,扣掉一組才是1000組
14*13*12*11/4*3*232F 05/18 14:39
hawk920412: C14取4是1001組,扣一組連號剛好1000組34F 05/18 14:40
Suntia: 有夠精彩,看著文章感覺身歷其境35F 05/18 14:40
david8840505: 沒 巫師的機率並不是6/1136F 05/18 14:40
taruru: 小牛去抽籤戴馬刺冠軍戒有點好笑37F 05/18 14:41
onepiecefan: 巫師天堂掉到地獄38F 05/18 14:41
hcl00: 巫師:……39F 05/18 14:42
zhutou: 所以第一個數字有可能都集中在某支球對身上嗎40F 05/18 14:42
darren31112: 歐皇拓荒者,非洲酋長巫師41F 05/18 14:42
onepiecefan: 在已知前三顆球 巫師的那當下機率確實是高於50% XD42F 05/18 14:43
david8840505: 巫師的機率一樣是6.7% 抽籤的先後順序不會影響到機43F 05/18 14:43
aifighter: 所以才說能賽到前三顆球已經把運氣用光44F 05/18 14:43
david8840505: 率的結果45F 05/18 14:43
welcome: 山羊難題:已開三顆球,巫師在當下機率的確是最高46F 05/18 14:44
Paichun: 樓上連條件機率都不懂  跑來說什麼機率47F 05/18 14:44
evangelew: 是阿 這是條件機率48F 05/18 14:45
skyline9981: 機率不好還出來搞笑49F 05/18 14:45
welcome: 先去了解山羊問題再來嗆啦50F 05/18 14:45
sampsonlu919: 巫師…果然慘,連坦都沒坦運|不曉得Beal何時才能脫離苦海51F 05/18 14:46
david8840505: 沒嗆 好的我去重讀53F 05/18 14:46
darren31112: welcome 我覺得他們是在嗆david54F 05/18 14:47
TVXFQ: 他們在嗆david55F 05/18 14:47
jademultiply: 噓文是認真的嗎?56F 05/18 14:48
lovinlover: 巫師還算有運氣啦 不然第一球開"2"後面就沒他的事了57F 05/18 14:48
landlice: 原來歪國忍也會講靠夭58F 05/18 14:49
lovesinker: 14-5-8這組巫師買最多樂透 但最後一字還是沒中XD59F 05/18 14:49
cidcheng: 所以巫師開到最後一球的時候超過一半機會拿到斑馬耶60F 05/18 14:50
livic: 第一球開2,巫師就沒事了Y61F 05/18 14:51
sony0223098: 感覺好刺激 什麼時候要開放直播62F 05/18 14:51
Ikaruwill: 抽樂透過程比某些軟蛋在場上打球好看多了63F 05/18 14:51
mtmmy: 山羊問題永遠有人會超級堅持是1/364F 05/18 14:51
jackypan1989: 巫師的機率一樣很低 ...65F 05/18 14:52
foolishbi: 巫師太慘了吧66F 05/18 14:53
lwamp 
lwamp: 這內心戲可以拍成兩小時電影67F 05/18 14:54
jokertai: 為什麼11,12,13,14這組不乾脆給5球那個位置68F 05/18 14:56
sony0223098: 巫師離斑馬只差最後一步....69F 05/18 14:56
Toy17: 推抽籤的趣聞70F 05/18 14:56
cow2009825: 想問一下,那接下來的順位,是會重新分配號碼嗎?71F 05/18 14:57
XXXaBg: 灌高可以水至少10集72F 05/18 14:57
ianchen1223: 怎麼沒有訪問一下活塞隊的人73F 05/18 14:57
louisxxiii: 巫師真的會吐血  有夠衰74F 05/18 14:57
EvansChang: 完了 學店仔看不懂XD75F 05/18 14:58
ysiieternal: 接下來榜眼籤就球丟進去重跑一次號碼76F 05/18 14:58
Aretimis7345: 沒想到要抽最後一球的當下是巫師最高機率77F 05/18 15:00
wega: 所以各隊抽籤代表只是到現場見證就是了@@78F 05/18 15:01
tommy920150: 想像你去買大樂透 只是14選4 馬刺簽了140張 最後中79F 05/18 15:01
Nuey: 巫師太雖了吧 笑死80F 05/18 15:02
cow2009825: y大謝謝,但我想知道的是,各隊手上持有的號碼(不知道這樣理解對不對81F 05/18 15:02
fujioqq: 持有的號碼就已經是死的了阿 一開始就公布了83F 05/18 15:03
onionandy: 樂透開獎人人有機會很有趣啊84F 05/18 15:03
forbake1: 巫師也太衰85F 05/18 15:04
onionandy: 不會重新分配號碼 各隊持有的彩券就是連對四次獎86F 05/18 15:04
fujioqq: 球就那些一直重複抽而已 剩下的隊伍看自己手上號碼87F 05/18 15:04
onionandy: 只是中過獎的不會再中一次88F 05/18 15:05
onepiecefan: 1000種排列組合每一組合就對應一隊  14%的就有14089F 05/18 15:05
mingzeng: 真是命中注定馬刺了 不然最後巫師機率最高應該是他90F 05/18 15:05
onepiecefan: 個組合是他的91F 05/18 15:05
cow2009825: 可是榜眼籤的機率不一樣欸92F 05/18 15:05
cidcheng: 負責進去對獎的人心情一定很有趣 XD93F 05/18 15:07
foolishbi: 黃蜂戰績倒數第四啊,機率本來就不同94F 05/18 15:07
onionandy: 哪有 狀元馬刺的 抽榜眼的時候就是馬刺140就算中獎也不算 是剩下860張彩卷去對獎95F 05/18 15:07
Leaflock: 巫師太苦了97F 05/18 15:08
TVXFQ: 可是號碼不會變阿 抽到馬刺就是重抽98F 05/18 15:08
fujioqq: 有疑問可以去看前一篇 那個舉例一目了然了99F 05/18 15:09
BARGARYARLOO: David8840505數學學好再噓317F 05/19 01:25
selamour: 巫師哭暈 馬刺絕殺318F 05/19 01:25
miha80425: 這文案跟鬼一樣 把抽獎講得像finals319F 05/19 01:55
umyiwen: 真實320F 05/19 02:51
RonArtest: 多年前就對NBA怎麼抽籤很感興趣 今天終於知道了XD321F 05/19 09:41

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