作者 Yjizz (Zz菊池大谷西舘zZ)標題 [分享] Skubal手術對老虎跟自由市場產生的影響？時間 Tue May 5 12:38:12 2026
How will Skubal's elbow surgery impact Tigers, free agency?
7:11 AM GMT+8
Mark Feinsand
https://www.mlb.com/news/tarik-skubal-elbow-surgery-impact-on-tigers-free-agency
https://shorturl.at/EqN0i
Skubal 的手肘手術，將如何影響老虎隊與自由市場？
The news that Tarik Skubal will undergo surgery to remove loose bodies from
his left elbow sent shockwaves throughout the game on Monday, as the two-time
American League Cy Young Award winner will be sidelined for the next two or
three months.
Tarik Skubal 將接受手術，移除左手肘內的游離體（loose bodies）的消息，在週一震
撼了整個棒球界。這位兩屆美聯賽揚獎得主，將因此缺席接下來兩到三個月。
What does that mean for the Tigers in their pursuit of a second straight AL
Central title? What effect will this have on the offseason, where Skubal was
expected to command a record-setting deal in free agency?
這對老虎隊在爭取連續第二座美聯中區冠軍的目標意味著什麼？而在休賽季方面，原本被
預期能在自由市場簽下一紙破紀錄合約的 Skubal，這次傷勢又會帶來什麼影響？
What do the Tigers do now?
Replacing one of the best pitchers in baseball -- if not the best -- is never
easy, but trying to do so in early May is even more difficult.
老虎隊現在該怎麼辦？
要取代聯盟最頂尖的投手之一──甚至可能是最強的那位──從來都不是件容易的事，而
在五月初就必須面對這個問題，更是難上加難。
With Skubal headed for surgery, Detroit’s rotation currently consists of
Framber Valdez, Jack Flaherty and Keider Montero, with Casey Mize on the
injured list and Ty Madden expected to fill Skubal’s spot for the immediate
future.
隨著 Skubal 將動手術，底特律目前的輪值包括：Framber Valdez、Jack Flaherty、
Keider Montero。Casey Mize 目前在傷兵名單中，而 Ty Madden 預計將在短期內頂替
Skubal 的位置。
Troy Melton (right elbow inflammation), who began a rehab assignment on
Sunday, should be ready to return from the injured list by the end of the
month. Drew Anderson could also become an option, though the Tigers may need
him in the bullpen given the injury to Will Vest (right lateral forearm
inflammation).
Troy Melton（右手肘發炎）已於週日開始復健賽，預計在本月底前可以從傷兵名單歸隊。
Drew Anderson 也可能成為輪值選項之一，但考量到 Will Vest（右前臂外側發炎）受傷
，老虎隊可能更需要他待在牛棚支援。
President of baseball operations Scott Harris will surely scour the trade
market, though that doesn’t typically become active for at least another
month. Some of the league’s underachievers could become sellers if they’re
unable to turn things around, but most front offices will likely wait a while
before packing it in for 2026.
棒球營運總裁 Scott Harris 勢必會在交易市場上尋找補強機會，但交易市場通常至少還
要一個月才會開始活絡。如果一些目前表現不如預期的球隊無法扭轉戰局，他們可能會轉
為賣家；不過，多數球團在決定是否放棄競爭、開始為 2026 年布局之前，通常會再觀望
一段時間。
“Most teams -- both buyers and sellers -- will give it until June 1 to see
how the market develops,” an AL executive said.
一位美聯高層表示：「大多數球隊──無論是買方還是賣方──都會等到 6 月 1 日左右
，才會真正觀察市場走向。」
Which starters could become available? If the Mets continue to falter, Freddy
Peralta -- a free agent at the end of the season -- could be an interesting
option. The same goes for Clay Holmes, who has a $12 million player option
for 2027 that he will likely decline based on the way his season is trending.
有哪些先發投手可能進入市場？如果大都會持續低迷，Freddy Peralta ──本季結束後將
成為自由球員──可能會是一個有趣的選項。同樣的情況也適用於 Clay Holmes，他在
2027 年擁有 1200 萬美元的球員選擇權，但以目前球季的發展趨勢來看，他很可能會選擇
跳出合約。
If Boston ultimately becomes a seller, Sonny Gray could become trade bait
come July. The Red Sox are off to a disappointing start, though even entering
Monday at 13-21, Boston was only three games back in the AL Wild Card race;
in fact, no team in the AL was more than 3 1/2 games out of a playoff spot
with three-quarters of the season still to be played.
如果波士頓最終轉為賣家，Sonny Gray 可能會在 7 月成為交易籌碼。紅襪開季表現令人
失望，不過即使截至週一戰績為 13 勝 21 敗，他們在美聯外卡競爭中也僅落後 3 場；事
實上，在球季還剩四分之三的情況下，美聯沒有任何球隊落後季後賽席位超過 3.5 場。
The Marlins could shop Sandy Alcantara this summer -- he was the
most-selected player in our recent executive poll asking who would be the
biggest name moved prior to the Trade Deadline -- but it would be surprising
to see him traded this early. Alcantara has a $21 million club option for
2027, so he won’t come cheap.
馬林魚今年夏天可能會兜售 Sandy Alcantara ──在我們最近一項詢問高層「誰會成為交
易截止日前最大咖被交易球員」的調查中，他是被提及最多的名字。不過，在這麼早的時
間點就看到他被交易，仍然會讓人感到意外。Alcantara 在 2027 年有一個 2100 萬美元
的球隊選擇權，因此他的身價不會便宜。
Joe Ryan’s name figured to be a popular one on the trade market this summer,
but the Twins right-hander left his start Sunday with elbow soreness. Robbie
Ray is slated to become a free agent this winter, giving the Giants a
potential arm to deal in July (if not earlier).
Joe Ryan 原本預計會是今年夏天交易市場上的熱門人選之一，但這位雙城右投在週日的先
發中因手肘痠痛提前退場。另一方面，Robbie Ray 預計將在今年冬天成為自由球員，這讓
巨人隊在 7 月（甚至更早）擁有一位潛在可以交易的投手籌碼。
One pitcher mentioned in our executive poll who won’t be going anywhere?
Skubal. Not that the Tigers were likely to trade him anyway, but given the
price tag he was expected to command this winter, the possibility was going
to exist until the minute the Deadline passes on Aug. 3.
在我們的高層調查中，有一位被點名「不會被交易」的投手是誰？就是 Tarik Skubal。當
然，老虎隊本來就不太可能交易他；但考量到他原本預期在今年冬天可能拿下的天價合約
，在 8 月 3 日交易截止日前，這樣的可能性理論上仍會一直存在。
What does this mean for Skubal’s free agency?
While Skubal’s injury is devastating news for the 2026 Tigers, the bigger
picture may be how it will impact the lefty’s free agency this offseason.
Skubal was expected to land the biggest guaranteed contract for any pitcher
in history -- the current record belongs to Yoshinobu Yamamoto and his
12-year, $325 million deal with the Dodgers -- when he becomes a free agent
at the end of the year.
這對 Skubal 的自由市場有什麼影響？
雖然這次受傷對 2026 年的老虎隊來說是重大打擊，但從更大的角度來看，關鍵在於這會
如何影響這位左投在今年休賽季的自由市場行情。Tarik Skubal 原本被預期在年底成為自
由球員時，將簽下一紙史上投手最大保證合約──目前紀錄是 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 與道
奇簽下的 12 年 3.25 億美元合約。
How much -- if any -- will this elbow injury cost the 29-year-old this winter?
那麼，這次手肘傷勢，會讓這位 29 歲投手在今年冬天損失多少（如果有的話）？
“It depends on if he comes back and pitches,” a National League executive
said. “And pitches effectively.”
一位國聯高層表示：「這取決於他是否能回到場上投球，」「以及──投得是否依然有效
率。」
The standard timetable for such a surgery is 2-3 months, but until the
procedure actually takes place and the extent of the damage is determined, it
’s difficult to predict when Skubal will be back on a mound.
這類手術的標準恢復期通常是 2 到 3 個月，但在實際動刀、確認損傷程度之前，很難準
確預測 Skubal 何時能重返投手丘。
“It’s all going to depend on the medical,” an AL executive said of the
impact on Skubal’s free-agent situation. “Not much if it’s just a
loose-body cleanup.”
另一位美聯高層談到這次傷勢對自由市場的影響時表示：「一切都取決於醫療檢查結果。
」「如果只是單純清除游離體，那影響不會太大。」
Another AL executive noted that loose bodies can sometimes be a sign of
ligament damage in the elbow, later leading to Tommy John surgery. As long as
Skubal returns without incident, this latest injury shouldn’t be a huge
factor in his free agency as long as he can come back and show he’s healthy
before the end of the season.
還有一位美聯高層指出，手肘中的游離體有時可能是韌帶受損的徵兆，未來甚至可能導致
需要接受 Tommy John surgery（韌帶重建手術）。只要 Skubal 能順利復出、沒有後續問
題，並在球季結束前證明自己已經恢復健康，那麼這次傷勢理論上不會對他的自由市場價
值造成太大影響。
Skubal’s case is a unique one. There is very little precedent for a top free
agent -- let alone the top free agent of his class -- suffering a major
injury and undergoing surgery in the months prior to hitting the open market.
Tarik Skubal 的案例相當特殊。在自由球員市場開放前幾個月，頂級自由球員──更別說
是該年度「最大咖」──遭遇重大傷勢並接受手術的情況，幾乎沒有什麼前例可循。
Shane Bieber had posted a strong five-year run with Cleveland from 2019-23,
winning the ’20 AL Cy Young Award while making two All-Star teams during
that stretch. But the right-hander suffered a torn UCL in his second start of
the ’24 season, ending his free-agent year after undergoing Tommy John
surgery. Bieber returned to the Guardians on a one-year deal for ’25, was
traded to the Blue Jays last summer, then exercised his $16 million player
option for this season.
Shane Bieber 在 2019 至 2023 年效力克里夫蘭期間，繳出穩定且優異的五年表現，期間
拿下 2020 年美聯賽揚獎，並入選兩次全明星。但這位右投在 2024 年球季的第二場先發
中遭遇尺側副韌帶撕裂，並在接受 TJ手術 後，直接結束了他的「合約年」。之後，
Bieber 以一年合約回到守護者迎接 2025 年球季，去年夏天被交易到藍鳥，接著行使了本
季 1600 萬美元的球員選擇權。
Josh Donaldson, who won AL MVP honors in 2015 and was an All-Star in ’16,
battled calf and shoulder issues in his ’18 walk year, forcing him to sign a
one-year, $23 million contract with the Braves for the ’19 season. Donaldson
posted a strong season in Atlanta, inking a four-year, $92 million deal with
the Twins prior to the ’20 season.
Josh Donaldson 曾在 2015 年拿下美聯 MVP，並於 2016 年入選全明星，但在 2018 年（
他的合約年）受到小腿與肩膀傷勢困擾，最終只能與勇士簽下一年 2300 萬美元的合約，
迎接 2019 年球季。Donaldson 在亞特蘭大打出強勢表現後，在 2020 年球季前與雙城簽
下一紙 4 年 9200 萬美元的合約。
Noah Syndergaard missed most of the two years prior to becoming a free agent,
throwing only two innings in late-2021 before signing a one-year, $21 million
deal with the Angels.
Noah Syndergaard 在成為自由球員前的兩年間幾乎都在養傷，直到 2021 年末才投了僅僅
2 局，之後仍與天使簽下一年 2100 萬美元的合約。
But no impending free agent of Skubal’s level -- not that there have been
many -- has faced the situation the left-hander finds himself dealing with
now.
但即便如此，像 Skubal 這種等級的自由球員──（而這樣的球員本來就不多）──過去
從未有人面臨過他現在這樣的處境。
Mark Feinsand, a senior national reporter, originally joined MLB.com as a
reporter in 2001.
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※ 作者: Yjizz 2026-05-05 12:38:12
※ 文章代碼(AID): #1f-NGu35 (Baseball)
※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Baseball/M.1777955896.A.0C5.html
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